The Ensign Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ENSG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.8b

Ensign Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ensign Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.2% and 10.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.3% in 3 years.

Key information

13.2%

Earnings growth rate

10.92%

EPS growth rate

Healthcare earnings growth19.1%
Revenue growth rate10.4%
Future return on equity17.28%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated09 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Feb 12

The Ensign Group: Real Estate Value Anchors A Growth Story

Summary The Ensign Group sustains premium valuation through consistent growth, operational excellence, and strategic distressed asset acquisitions. ENSG's decentralized cluster model drives superior occupancy, rapid turnaround of new facilities, and regulatory outperformance, supporting compounding cash flow. Standard Bearer, ENSG's captive REIT, captures real estate value and provides a valuation floor, with 2025 FFO up 33.9% year-over-year. Despite sector risks from reimbursement changes and wage inflation, ENSG's robust balance sheet and double-digit earnings guidance underpin its long-term growth thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Jan 04

Is Ensign Group (NASDAQ:ENSG) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Oct 28

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of The Ensign Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ENSG)

Key Insights Ensign Group's estimated fair value is US$165 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Ensign Group's...
Narrative Update Oct 08

Rising US Eldercare Demand And Acquisitions Will Drive Expansion

Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Increased for Ensign Group Analysts have raised their price target on Ensign Group by $3 to $180, citing a continued recovery and positive operating momentum in the skilled nursing facility sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst discussions and price target adjustments reflect a renewed optimism in Ensign Group’s prospects as well as a careful eye on sector dynamics.
Analysis Article Sep 27

What Does The Ensign Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ENSG) Share Price Indicate?

The Ensign Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ENSG ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise...
Narrative Update Sep 20

Rising US Eldercare Demand And Acquisitions Will Drive Expansion

With both Ensign Group’s future P/E and consensus revenue growth forecasts holding steady, analysts have made only a marginal upward adjustment to the fair value target, raising the consensus price target from $174.67 to $177.40. What's in the News Ensign Group settled a whistleblower case for over $47.3 million, resolving allegations of Medicare and Medicaid fraud, kickbacks to physicians, and violations of the False Claims Acts and Anti-Kickback Statutes.
Narrative Update Sep 05

Rising US Eldercare Demand And Acquisitions Will Drive Expansion

With no changes observed in either Ensign Group’s future P/E ratio or net profit margin, the consensus analyst price target remains stable at $174.67. What's in the News Ensign Group settled a whistleblower lawsuit for over $47.3 million, resolving allegations of nationwide Medicare and Medicaid fraud, kickbacks, and violations of federal and state laws, as well as breaching a prior Corporate Integrity Agreement.
Analysis Article Jul 25

Ensign Group (NASDAQ:ENSG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jun 24

When Should You Buy The Ensign Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ENSG)?

The Ensign Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ENSG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a...
Seeking Alpha Nov 18

Ensign Group: Expensive Despite Excellent Growth Prospects

Summary The Ensign Group's unique local, field-driven management structure contributes to high service quality and leadership retention. Astonishing revenue growth at a 15% CAGR over 10 years, but rising costs and capex hinder free cash flow, making the stock expensive. Recent strategic acquisitions of distressed assisted living facilities in Wisconsin and Nebraska signal sustainable growth and value-add opportunities. Shares are a hold with a price target of $150. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Aug 27

Calculated Acquisitions And Market Expansion Fuel Robust Growth Prospects

Ensign Group's strategy for growth involves acquisitions, geographical expansion, and operational efficiency, indicating a potential for increased revenue and margins.
Seeking Alpha Jun 12

Ensign Group: Priced On Asset Growth, Supported By Fundamentals

Summary ENSG continues to show growth in same-facility operations and reinvestment of earnings to build assets. Q1 FY 2024 earnings breakdown shows continued top-line growth and affirmed guidance for the year. Factors supporting additional price change include market pricing on asset growth vs. earnings and growth in earnings power. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:ENSG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20287,040528394N/A3
12/31/20276,432476352N/A5
12/31/20265,841421341N/A5
3/31/20265,274363406592N/A
12/31/20255,058344371564N/A
9/30/20254,829328290481N/A
6/30/20254,615323277463N/A
3/31/20254,423309212384N/A
12/31/20244,260298189347N/A
9/30/20244,109240247332N/A
6/30/20243,968225202321N/A
3/31/20243,853218255364N/A
12/31/20233,729209270377N/A
9/30/20233,559248164342N/A
6/30/20233,388240141311N/A
3/31/20233,199234109275N/A
12/31/20223,025225185273N/A
9/30/20222,90921356294N/A
6/30/20222,808204114297N/A
3/31/20222,714196102287N/A
12/31/20212,627195108276N/A
9/30/20212,563192226296N/A
6/30/20212,494188234308N/A
3/31/20212,440179320381N/A
12/31/20202,403170298373N/A
9/30/20202,334152193342N/A
6/30/20202,247131120299N/A
3/31/20202,155111-25200N/A
12/31/20192,03792N/A192N/A
9/30/20191,72858N/A185N/A
6/30/20191,73056N/A176N/A
3/31/20191,73458N/A190N/A
12/31/20181,75559N/A210N/A
9/30/20181,99177N/A167N/A
6/30/20181,94871N/A149N/A
3/31/20181,90061N/A94N/A
12/31/20171,59817N/A80N/A
9/30/20171,79548N/A66N/A
6/30/20171,75145N/A62N/A
3/31/20171,71344N/A81N/A
12/31/20161,65550N/A74N/A
9/30/20161,59545N/A91N/A
6/30/20161,51848N/A63N/A
3/31/20161,41949N/A40N/A
12/31/20151,34255N/A33N/A
9/30/20151,24653N/A31N/A
6/30/20151,15549N/A55N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ENSG's forecast earnings growth (13.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: ENSG's earnings (13.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ENSG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ENSG's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ENSG's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ENSG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.3%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 07:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Ensign Group, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tao QiuBerenberg
Joseph FranceCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Peter MartinCitizens JMP Securities, LLC