Stock Analysis

Embecta Corp.'s (NASDAQ:EMBC) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

NasdaqGS:EMBC
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Embecta

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:EMBC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 16th 2023

What Does Embecta's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Embecta's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Embecta.

How Is Embecta's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Embecta's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.5%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 0.9% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.4% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Embecta's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Embecta's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Embecta (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Embecta is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.