Embecta Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
Embecta's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.9% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 0.8% per annum.
Key information
-1.9%
Earnings growth rate
0.84%
EPS growth rate
| Medical Equipment earnings growth | 16.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.7% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 18 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Feb 09
Earnings Beat: Embecta Corp. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Investors in Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.4% to close at US$10.87 following the...Analysis Article • Nov 28
US$16.67: That's What Analysts Think Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
It's been a sad week for Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ), who've watched their investment drop 14% to US$12.57 in the...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 01
EMBC: Sector Reset And Buybacks Will Shape Future Upside Potential
The Street’s view on Embecta has reset sharply, with the average analyst price target moving from about $11 to around $5 as analysts recalibrate for lower P/E assumptions and sector wide pressure on medtech valuations. This pressure is tied to slower product cycles, utilization concerns, higher inflation, and capital flowing to data centers instead of healthcare.Narrative Update • May 16
EMBC: Reset Expectations And Capital Returns Will Shape The Bullish Case
Analysts have reset Embecta's fair value estimate from $25 to $11, reflecting lower price targets after recent cuts from firms that cited updated views on growth, profitability and risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more cautious stance on Embecta's valuation, with several firms lowering their price targets and, in at least one case, issuing a downgrade.
Narrative Update • Apr 30
EMBC: Wound Care Expansion Will Support Future Upside Despite Lower Price Targets
Analysts have trimmed their targets on Embecta by $2 to $3, citing updated expectations that align with an unchanged fair value estimate of $15, a steady discount rate of 12.33%, and consistent long term assumptions for revenue trends, profit margin, and a future P/E of about 7.9x. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the reaffirmed fair value estimate of $15 and implied P/E of about 7.9x as leaving room for the share price to close part of the gap if execution on the existing plan remains consistent.Narrative Update • Apr 15
EMBC: Higher Discount Rate And Wound Care Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted Embecta's implied fair value price target from $16.67 to $15.00, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research, including price target cuts from both Mizuho and BTIG. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more cautious stance on Embecta, with the lower implied fair value aligning with trimmed price targets and more conservative assumptions around growth, profitability and P/E levels.Seeking Alpha • Mar 19
Embecta: An Interesting Deal At An Interesting Time
Summary Embecta trades at multi-year lows due to GLP-1 overhang and flat sales but maintains strong margins and a >6% dividend yield. Embecta's £150M acquisition of Owen Mumford adds higher-growth exposure, is strategically sound, and is priced at a reasonable 1.4–2x sales multiple. Leverage will rise to 3.3x EBITDA post-deal but appears manageable given stable cash flows and robust profitability. I am cautiously upbeat, seeing deep value at 3x earnings, but prefer a small position due to near-term dilution and leverage concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Feb 18
EMBC: Future M&A And Margin Pressures Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have maintained Embecta's price target at $11.00, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, softer revenue growth expectations, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Embecta is actively exploring mergers and acquisitions, with leadership emphasizing a focus on chronic care drug delivery where the company can use its manufacturing strengths and growing B2B channel (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 12
Embecta's (NASDAQ:EMBC) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively
The market seemed underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) recently. We have done...Analysis Article • Feb 09
Earnings Beat: Embecta Corp. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Investors in Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.4% to close at US$10.87 following the...Analysis Article • Feb 08
Embecta (NASDAQ:EMBC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.15
The board of Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.15 per share on the 17th of...Narrative Update • Feb 03
EMBC: Future M&A Plans Will Test Balance Sheet And Earnings Multiple
Analysts now hold their fair value estimate for Embecta at US$11.00. The unchanged target reflects modest tweaks to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that offset the slightly higher discount rate.Narrative Update • Jan 20
EMBC: Future M&A Ambitions Will Heighten Risk Against Weak Earnings Multiple
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Embecta steady at US$11.00 while slightly adjusting underlying assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E. This reflects updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings power without a change to the headline target.Analysis Article • Jan 09
Market Cool On Embecta Corp.'s (NASDAQ:EMBC) Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may...Narrative Update • Jan 05
EMBC: Medium Term Guidance Will Balance Revenue Outlook With Margin Pressures
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Embecta to 11.00 dollars, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a marginally lower anticipated future P or E multiple, partially offset by incrementally stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Embecta issued new fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting reported revenues between 1,071 million and 1,093 million dollars, signaling confidence in its medium term growth trajectory (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 15
EMBC: Outlook Will Balance Stabilizing Revenues With Pressured Profit Margins Through 2026
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Embecta to 11.00 dollars from 11.00 dollars. This reflects improved expectations for a return to positive revenue growth and a higher future earnings multiple, partially offset by a higher discount rate and slightly lower projected profit margins.Analysis Article • Nov 28
US$16.67: That's What Analysts Think Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
It's been a sad week for Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ), who've watched their investment drop 14% to US$12.57 in the...Analysis Article • Nov 01
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC)?
Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 36...Analysis Article • Sep 26
Embecta Corp.'s (NASDAQ:EMBC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 99% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Embecta is US$27.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Embecta's...Analysis Article • Aug 28
Even With A 29% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Embecta Corp.'s (NASDAQ:EMBC) Performance Completely
Despite an already strong run, Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...Narrative Update • Aug 10
GLP-1 Partnerships Will Expand Global Healthcare Reach
The consensus price target for Embecta has been cut from $18.33 to $16.00, primarily reflecting lowered revenue growth forecasts and a declining future P/E multiple. What's in the News Embecta Corp.Analysis Article • Jul 04
Sentiment Still Eluding Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC)
Embecta Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x might make it look like a buy right now...Analysis Article • May 22
Embecta (NASDAQ:EMBC) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.15
The board of Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.15 per share on the 13th of...Analysis Article • May 09
What Is Embecta Corp.'s (NASDAQ:EMBC) Share Price Doing?
Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Analysis Article • Mar 06
Embecta Corp.'s (NASDAQ:EMBC) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 87% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Embecta's estimated fair value is US$24.29 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...Seeking Alpha • Feb 28
Embecta: Weak Outlook But Mouth-Watering Valuation Skew Risk-Reward In Favour
Summary Embecta faces headwinds from new insulin delivery technologies and GLP-1 drugs, but its valuation is compelling with a ~44% free cash flow yield on guided free cashflow. EMBC's end market is expected to witness a headwind from increased use of pump patches in comparison to traditional insulin delivery routes. Moreover, increased GLP-1 use to treat diabetes would lead to further less frequent use of EMBC's product. However, the expanding diabetes care market should partially offset these headwinds, leading to flat topline growth in the coming years. Even though the company is going to post a flat topline, its valuation is such that the business is going to go bust in some time. This situation offers a good risk reward to go long on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 04
New Initiatives Expected To Make Embecta More Profitable
Summary Embecta Corp.'s Q4 results showed significant net income and EPS growth as well as profitability plans, and drove up the share price. The company announced a restructuring plan to streamline operations, reduce costs by up to $65 million annually, and discontinue its insulin patch pump program. Embecta aims to strengthen its core business, expand its GLP-1 therapies portfolio, and reduce debt, positioning it for profitable growth in fiscal 2025. I have upgraded the rating on EMBC stock to a Buy, expecting a 12.0% share price increase over the next year, driven by restructuring and new revenue streams. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 29
Embecta (NASDAQ:EMBC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.15
Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) will pay a dividend of $0.15 on the 18th of December. The dividend yield will be 2.9...Analysis Article • Nov 07
At US$16.33, Is It Time To Put Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC) On Your Watch List?
While Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a...Analysis Article • Sep 24
It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC)
Embecta Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might make it look like a buy right now...
New Narrative • Sep 16
Expanding Global Leadership In Insulin Devices Fuels Revenue Growth And Operational Efficiencies
Strengthening the base business in insulin injection devices suggests potential for stable, growing revenues as the global demographic needing these devices increases.Analysis Article • Aug 16
Embecta (NASDAQ:EMBC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.15
The board of Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.15 per share on the 13th of...Analysis Article • Aug 14
Embecta Corp. Just Beat EPS By 79%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Investors in Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.1% to close at US$14.82 following the...Analysis Article • Jul 13
When Should You Buy Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC)?
While Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a...Analysis Article • May 12
Earnings Beat: Embecta Corp. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Embecta Corp. ( NASDAQ:EMBC ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 1,092 | 91 | 123 | N/A | 3 |
| 9/30/2027 | 1,083 | 77 | 123 | N/A | 4 |
| 9/30/2026 | 1,021 | 53 | 106 | N/A | 4 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,043 | 112 | 205 | 214 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,080 | 140 | 206 | 214 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,080 | 95 | 182 | 192 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,103 | 84 | 132 | 134 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,080 | 53 | 40 | 51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,108 | 58 | 29 | 44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,123 | 78 | 20 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,119 | 70 | 14 | 39 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,133 | 70 | 9 | 32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,122 | 55 | -30 | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,121 | 70 | 41 | 68 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,114 | 47 | 70 | 96 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,119 | 94 | 114 | 138 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,116 | 160 | 309 | 334 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,130 | 224 | 388 | 412 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,156 | 338 | 411 | 440 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,160 | 380 | 506 | 537 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,169 | 408 | 442 | 474 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,165 | 415 | 417 | 456 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,086 | 428 | 457 | 499 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,109 | 432 | N/A | 505 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: EMBC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.9% per year).
Earnings vs Market: EMBC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: EMBC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: EMBC's revenue (1.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: EMBC's revenue (1.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if EMBC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/03 07:35 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Embecta Corp. is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Travis Steed | BofA Global Research |
| Michael Gorman | BTIG |
| Marie Thibault | BTIG |