Stock Analysis

Alphatec Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATEC) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

NasdaqGS:ATEC
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It's not a stretch to say that Alphatec Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ATEC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Alphatec Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ATEC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2024

How Alphatec Holdings Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Alphatec Holdings has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Alphatec Holdings.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Alphatec Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Alphatec Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 37%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 233% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Alphatec Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Alphatec Holdings' P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at Alphatec Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Alphatec Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Alphatec Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.