Japan Tobacco Inc.

OTCPK:JAPA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$46.7b

Japan Tobacco Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Japan Tobacco is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.6% and 4.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15% in 3 years.

Key information

6.6%

Earnings growth rate

7.3%

EPS growth rate

Tobacco earnings growth19.1%
Revenue growth rate4.7%
Future return on equity15.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated23 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:JAPA.F - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20263,448,549576,635554,433683,1488
12/31/20253,273,547542,425525,089652,6329
12/31/20243,155,805498,103501,059697,6718
9/30/20243,077,337482,692323,055468,595N/A
6/30/20243,018,157500,451487,210620,360N/A
3/31/20242,916,132494,870452,145573,184N/A
12/31/20232,841,077482,288445,800567,014N/A
9/30/20232,806,302480,919517,123630,610N/A
6/30/20232,783,816465,662470,759580,475N/A
3/31/20232,741,605463,290391,665500,479N/A
12/31/20222,657,832442,716384,391483,799N/A
9/30/20222,567,311403,484418,474513,599N/A
6/30/20222,447,127377,363437,562534,221N/A
3/31/20222,358,977348,814525,115625,538N/A
12/31/20212,324,838338,490495,991598,909N/A
9/30/20212,266,539391,118444,917550,607N/A
6/30/20212,206,882362,948461,871568,071N/A
3/31/20212,120,307337,666432,684534,130N/A
12/31/20202,092,561310,253411,213519,833N/A
9/30/20202,133,975289,990563,632680,799N/A
6/30/20202,147,295294,234322,730445,106N/A
3/31/20202,189,824313,723286,198417,299N/A
12/31/20192,175,626348,190407,040540,410N/A
9/30/20192,173,891369,139147,753291,541N/A
6/30/20192,199,240396,035304,513454,169N/A
3/31/20192,206,334402,506343,935502,356N/A
12/31/20182,215,962385,677302,579461,389N/A
9/30/20182,222,573391,397361,713512,378N/A
6/30/20182,169,594382,867N/A607,885N/A
3/31/20182,148,565390,929N/A569,933N/A
12/31/20172,139,653392,409N/A419,212N/A
9/30/20172,117,649405,385N/A631,285N/A
6/30/20172,111,738400,236N/A523,701N/A
3/31/20172,115,337381,741N/A478,328N/A
12/31/20162,143,287421,695N/A376,549N/A
9/30/20162,182,953431,398N/A348,092N/A
6/30/20162,234,542433,787N/A318,620N/A
3/31/20162,232,079439,426N/A436,459N/A
12/31/20152,252,884398,176N/A468,432N/A
12/31/20142,692,993485,343N/A724,928N/A
9/30/20142,415,175410,180N/A577,661N/A
6/30/20142,408,352436,064N/A365,518N/A
3/31/20142,399,841427,987N/A396,496N/A
12/31/20132,291,675439,186N/A438,123N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: JAPA.F's forecast earnings growth (6.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: JAPA.F's earnings (6.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: JAPA.F's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: JAPA.F's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: JAPA.F's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: JAPA.F's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 00:16
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Japan Tobacco Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gaurav JainBarclays
Takayuki HayanoBarclays
Jonathan LeinsterBerenberg