Cobram Estate Olives Limited

OTCPK:CBOA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$543.6m

Cobram Estate Olives Valuation

Is CBOA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CBOA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CBOA.F ($1.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CBOA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CBOA.F?

Key metric: As CBOA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CBOA.F. This is calculated by dividing CBOA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CBOA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45.1x
EarningsAU$18.53m
Market CapAU$836.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CBOA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CBOA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.6x
SENE.A Seneca Foods
11.7xn/aUS$482.8m
LWAY Lifeway Foods
27x24.3%US$375.4m
MAMA Mama's Creations
62x42.6%US$313.4m
JBSS John B. Sanfilippo & Son
17.5xn/aUS$950.0m
CBOA.F Cobram Estate Olives
45.1x15.1%US$836.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CBOA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.1x) compared to the peer average (29.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CBOA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCEH Global Clean Energy Holdings
2.1xn/aUS$43.91m
SEED Origin Agritech
1.9xn/aUS$15.55m
FAMI Farmmi
1.9xn/aUS$2.74m
IDBH.F Industrias Bachoco. de
0.0002xn/aUS$59.94k
CBOA.F 45.1xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CBOA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.1x) compared to the US Food industry average (19.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CBOA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CBOA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CBOA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CBOA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.53
US$1.31
-14.3%
5.2%US$1.39US$1.23n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$1.31
0%
5.2%US$1.39US$1.23n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$1.34
0%
5.2%US$1.42US$1.25n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$1.34
0%
5.2%US$1.42US$1.25n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$1.35
0%
2.2%US$1.39US$1.32n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$1.30
0%
4.0%US$1.36US$1.24n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
US$1.26
0%
5.6%US$1.35US$1.19n/a3
May ’25n/a
US$1.26
0%
5.3%US$1.34US$1.18n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
US$1.26
0%
5.3%US$1.34US$1.18n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
US$1.26
0%
5.3%US$1.34US$1.18n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
US$1.19
0%
2.6%US$1.22US$1.14n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
US$1.19
0%
2.6%US$1.22US$1.14n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
US$1.13
0%
3.4%US$1.16US$1.06n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
US$1.07
0%
3.4%US$1.11US$1.02n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.96
0%
24.6%US$1.16US$0.56n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.96
0%
24.6%US$1.16US$0.56n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
US$0.98
0%
24.2%US$1.17US$0.58n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
US$1.03
0%
26.0%US$1.29US$0.59n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
US$1.03
0%
25.8%US$1.27US$0.58n/a4
May ’24n/a
US$1.02
0%
25.8%US$1.26US$0.58n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
US$1.04
0%
26.4%US$1.30US$0.58n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
US$1.17
0%
8.0%US$1.31US$1.07n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
US$1.34
0%
11.6%US$1.48US$1.12n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
US$1.22
0%
10.2%US$1.36US$1.03n/a4
Dec ’23n/a
US$1.22
0%
10.2%US$1.36US$1.03n/a4
Nov ’23n/a
US$1.31
0%
10.9%US$1.48US$1.10n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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