Australian Vintage Ltd

OTCPK:AUVG.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$36.3m

Australian Vintage Valuation

Is AUVG.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AUVG.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AUVG.F ($0.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AUVG.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AUVG.F?

Key metric: As AUVG.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AUVG.F. This is calculated by dividing AUVG.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AUVG.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesAU$257.57m
Market CapAU$54.36m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AUVG.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AUVG.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4x
CASK Heritage Distilling Holding Company
2.3xn/aUS$18.2m
MDWK MDWerks
11.4xn/aUS$24.2m
WVVI Willamette Valley Vineyards
0.4xn/aUS$16.4m
SBEV Splash Beverage Group
2x81.5%US$13.2m
AUVG.F Australian Vintage
0.2x2.3%US$54.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AUVG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AUVG.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Beverage Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x4.5%
AUVG.F Australian Vintage
0.2x2.3%US$36.33m
EAST Eastside Distilling
0.3xn/aUS$3.07m
WTER Alkaline Water
0.01xn/aUS$772.77k
AUVG.F 0.2xIndustry Avg. 2.9xNo. of Companies7PS01.63.24.86.48+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.9x10.3%
AUVG.F Australian Vintage
0.2x94.6%US$36.33m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AUVG.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Beverage industry average (2.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AUVG.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AUVG.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AUVG.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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