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Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Molson Coors Beverage (NYSE:TAP)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Molson Coors Beverage (NYSE:TAP) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Molson Coors Beverage, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.056 = US$1.3b ÷ (US$27b - US$3.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Therefore, Molson Coors Beverage has an ROCE of 5.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Beverage industry average of 16%.
See our latest analysis for Molson Coors Beverage
In the above chart we have measured Molson Coors Beverage's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Molson Coors Beverage here for free.
So How Is Molson Coors Beverage's ROCE Trending?
There hasn't been much to report for Molson Coors Beverage's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Molson Coors Beverage to be a multi-bagger going forward. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Molson Coors Beverage has been paying out a decent 35% of its earnings to shareholders. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
The Bottom Line
We can conclude that in regards to Molson Coors Beverage's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. And with the stock having returned a mere 13% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching Molson Coors Beverage, you might be interested to know about the 4 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:TAP
Molson Coors Beverage
Manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products under various brands in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.