Adecoagro Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Adecoagro's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.6% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 8.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 1.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.5% in 3 years.

Key information

8.1%

Earnings growth rate

1.7%

EPS growth rate

Food earnings growth	8.2%
Revenue growth rate	-1.6%
Future return on equity	6.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	28 Mar 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Adecoagro: Good Operations Squeezed By Uncontrollable Commodity And Weather Issues

Mar 07

Sugarcane Expansion And Ethanol Hopes Brighten Future Despite Profit Margin Squeeze

Sep 15 Expansion and active management of sugarcane and ethanol operations could lead to increased production volumes and better margins.

Benign Growth For Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Underpins Its Share Price

Aug 26

Adecoagro's Q2 2024 Still Challenged By Falling Prices, The Stock Is Not An Opportunity

Aug 25

Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Aug 10

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Adecoagro's (NYSE:AGRO) Earnings

May 23

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

May 10

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Feb 09

Adecoagro Trades At Exaggerated Average Multiples

Jan 31

Should You Think About Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Now?

Jan 18

Adecoagro: Consider This Sweet Sugar Stock

Jan 10

Adecoagro: Stock Has Strong Growth Potential In 2024

Dec 28

These 4 Measures Indicate That Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Is Using Debt Extensively

Dec 21

Ever-Higher Sugar Prices Sweeten The Thesis For Adecoagro

Oct 17

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO)?

Oct 04

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Aug 10

Adecoagro: Undervalued And Poised For A Breakout As Commodities Cycle Higher

Jul 31

Adecoagro: Rice Export Bans In India Come At A Good Time

Jul 22

Should You Think About Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Now?

Jun 28

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Jun 07

Adecoagro S.A. Just Beat Revenue Estimates By 11%

May 14

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO)

Apr 12

At US$7.69, Is Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Worth Looking At Closely?

Mar 14

Adecoagro makes its legal officer Gnecco CFO

Feb 09

Adecoagro Hit Hard By A Weakening Outlook For Ethanol And Sugar Production

Jan 11

Is Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Using Too Much Debt?

Dec 26

Returns At Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Dec 07

At US$7.76, Is It Time To Put Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) On Your Watch List?

Nov 14

Adecoagro S.A.: Strategically Diversified Growth

Nov 08

Adecoagro Is A Hedge Against Looming Recession

Oct 29

Adecoagro raises dividend by 2% to $0.1602/share

Oct 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AGRO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	1,368	102	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2026	1,500	119	218	394	6
12/31/2025	1,509	134	78	394	5
12/31/2024	1,519	92	65	328	N/A
9/30/2024	1,409	159	81	343	N/A
6/30/2024	1,323	215	251	511	N/A
3/31/2024	1,314	252	192	449	N/A
12/31/2023	1,299	226	191	435	N/A
9/30/2023	1,407	147	258	491	N/A
6/30/2023	1,407	94	127	362	N/A
3/31/2023	1,388	66	108	340	N/A
12/31/2022	1,348	108	140	370	N/A
9/30/2022	1,310	164	47	270	N/A
6/30/2022	1,250	178	77	320	N/A
3/31/2022	1,156	176	117	349	N/A
12/31/2021	1,124	131	136	349	N/A
9/30/2021	1,033	119	114	332	N/A
6/30/2021	944	103	88	265	N/A
3/31/2021	836	74	17	185	N/A
12/31/2020	818	0	80	257	N/A
9/30/2020	854	-37	106	293	N/A
6/30/2020	838	-88	129	312	N/A
3/31/2020	883	-53	132	339	N/A
12/31/2019	887	-1	56	322	N/A
9/30/2019	851	-15	17	286	N/A
6/30/2019	809	20	-20	266	N/A
3/31/2019	797	-37	-23	256	N/A
12/31/2018	793	-25	2	219	N/A
9/30/2018	826	-15	N/A	240	N/A
6/30/2018	910	-21	N/A	218	N/A
3/31/2018	923	17	N/A	241	N/A
12/31/2017	933	13	N/A	237	N/A
9/30/2017	990	20	N/A	319	N/A
6/30/2017	973	29	N/A	297	N/A
3/31/2017	914	5	N/A	241	N/A
12/31/2016	869	12	N/A	255	N/A
9/30/2016	756	-20	N/A	132	N/A
6/30/2016	680	-10	N/A	110	N/A
3/31/2016	682	3	N/A	111	N/A
12/31/2015	674	-6	N/A	145	N/A
9/30/2015	673	-9	N/A	120	N/A
6/30/2015	705	-13	N/A	151	N/A
3/31/2015	738	-7	N/A	133	N/A
12/31/2014	723	11	N/A	120	N/A
9/30/2014	676	20	N/A	103	N/A
6/30/2014	649	3	N/A	90	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGRO's forecast earnings growth (8.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: AGRO's earnings (8.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AGRO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AGRO's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGRO's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.6% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AGRO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/04/07 18:23
End of Day Share Price	2025/04/04 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Adecoagro S.A. is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Isabella Simonato	BofA Global Research
Gabriel Vaz de Lima	Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários
Thiago Callegari Duarte	BTG Pactual

Adecoagro Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 20%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 31%, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 32%

Recent updates

Final dividend increased to US$0.17

Adecoagro S.A. announces Semi-Annual dividend, payable on May 16, 2025

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Adecoagro: Good Operations Squeezed By Uncontrollable Commodity And Weather Issues

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO)?

Insufficient new directors

The Return Trends At Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Look Promising

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Adecoagro S.A. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 11, 2025

Adecoagro Waits For A Better 2024/25 Harvest. Still A Hold

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.174

First half dividend increased to US$0.17

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Adecoagro S.A. Announces Declaration of Cash Dividend, Payable on November 27, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 20%

Adecoagro S.A.: A Higher Share Price May Be On The Horizon Shortly

Sugarcane Expansion And Ethanol Hopes Brighten Future Despite Profit Margin Squeeze

Benign Growth For Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Underpins Its Share Price

Adecoagro's Q2 2024 Still Challenged By Falling Prices, The Stock Is Not An Opportunity

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.094 (vs US$0.43 in 2Q 2023)

Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 31%, revenue downgraded

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Adecoagro's (NYSE:AGRO) Earnings

New minor risk - Earnings quality

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.45 (vs US$0.20 in 1Q 2023)

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Final dividend increased to US$0.17

Adecoagro S.A. Announces Declaration of Cash Dividends, Payable on May 29, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Adecoagro Trades At Exaggerated Average Multiples

Should You Think About Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Now?

Adecoagro: Consider This Sweet Sugar Stock

Adecoagro: Stock Has Strong Growth Potential In 2024

These 4 Measures Indicate That Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Is Using Debt Extensively

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15%

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Adecoagro S.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 14, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 32%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.71 (vs US$0.20 in 3Q 2022)

Adecoagro S.A. Announces Declaration of Cash Dividends, Payable on November 24, 2023

Adecoagro S.A. Announces Declaration of Cash Dividends, Payable on November 24, 2023

Ever-Higher Sugar Prices Sweeten The Thesis For Adecoagro

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO)?

Price target increased by 8.7% to US$12.46

Price target increased by 11% to US$12.18

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.43 (vs US$0.17 in 2Q 2022)

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Adecoagro: Undervalued And Poised For A Breakout As Commodities Cycle Higher

Adecoagro: Rice Export Bans In India Come At A Good Time

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 7.8% to US$10.84

Should You Think About Buying Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Now?

Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Adecoagro S.A. Just Beat Revenue Estimates By 11%

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.20 (vs US$0.57 in 1Q 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 36%

Price target decreased by 11% to US$9.99

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO)

Co-Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

At US$7.69, Is Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE:AGRO) Worth Looking At Closely?

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Adecoagro S.A. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Adecoagro makes its legal officer Gnecco CFO