Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (NASDAQ:COKE) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Coca-Cola Consolidated
What Is Coca-Cola Consolidated's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Coca-Cola Consolidated had debt of US$598.8m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from US$723.4m over a year. However, it also had US$197.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$401.2m.
How Strong Is Coca-Cola Consolidated's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Coca-Cola Consolidated had liabilities of US$905.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.69b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$197.6m in cash and US$606.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.79b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Coca-Cola Consolidated has a market capitalization of US$4.97b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Coca-Cola Consolidated has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.50. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 25.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Coca-Cola Consolidated has boosted its EBIT by 43%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Coca-Cola Consolidated will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Coca-Cola Consolidated produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 63% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Happily, Coca-Cola Consolidated's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Zooming out, Coca-Cola Consolidated seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Coca-Cola Consolidated, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated
Manufactures, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages primarily products of The Coca-Cola Company in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.