The Reserve Petroleum Company engages in oil and natural gas exploration and development, and minerals management primarily in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, and South Dakota.
The last earnings update was 7 days ago.
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for OTCPK:RSRV using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
OTCPK:RSRV DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Reserve Petroleum's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Reserve Petroleum's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Reserve Petroleum's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Reserve Petroleum's earnings are expected to grow by 14.2% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Unable to determine if Reserve Petroleum is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Reserve Petroleum's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
Oil and Gas
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
3/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Reserve Petroleum's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Reserve Petroleum is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Reserve Petroleum's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Reserve Petroleum's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Reserve Petroleum has no debt, it does not need to be covered by short term assets.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Cameron R. McLain has been the Chief Executive Officer of The Reserve Petroleum Company since May 19, 2009 and has been its President since May 20, 2008. Mr. McLain serves as an Advisory Director of Mesquite Minerals, Inc. He has been Exploration Manager of Reserve Petroleum Co. since May 9, 1982 and served as its Advisory Director. Previously, he was employed from May 1980 to May 1982 as a Southern Oklahoma exploration geologist for Cities Service Oil and Gas Company. He serves as a Director of Mid-American Oil Company. He has been a Director of Reserve Petroleum Co. since May 23, 2006. Mr. McLain holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Geology from the University of Oklahoma and a Master of Business Administration degree from Oklahoma City University.
Cameron's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
Cameron's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the Reserve Petroleum management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
Chairman of the Board
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
board of directors in years:
The average tenure for the Reserve Petroleum board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
The Reserve Petroleum Company engages in oil and natural gas exploration and development, and minerals management primarily in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, and South Dakota. As of December 31, 2017, the company had working interests in 24.93 net gas wells; and 23.28 net oil wells located in 9,779 net producing acres. It owns non-producing mineral interests of 88,248 net acres located in the north and south central United States; and has interests in approximately 900 producing properties. The Reserve Petroleum Company was founded in 1931 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
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