Rockhopper Exploration plc

OTCPK:RCKH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$128.3m

Rockhopper Exploration Valuation

Is RCKH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RCKH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RCKH.F ($0.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RCKH.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RCKH.F?

Key metric: As RCKH.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RCKH.F. This is calculated by dividing RCKH.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RCKH.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
EarningsUS$14.56m
Market CapUS$128.26m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RCKH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RCKH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
EPSN Epsilon Energy
23.9x45.0%US$126.1m
PHX PHX Minerals
29.5x89.3%US$143.2m
SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust
23.9xn/aUS$190.6m
MVO MV Oil Trust
5.5xn/aUS$100.9m
RCKH.F Rockhopper Exploration
8.8x-81.6%US$101.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RCKH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RCKH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
RCKH.F 8.8xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RCKH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RCKH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RCKH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RCKH.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RCKH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.20
US$0.50
+151.3%
24.6%US$0.67US$0.38n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.17
US$0.43
+150.5%
9.1%US$0.47US$0.39n/a2
Oct ’25US$0.21
US$0.45
+113.4%
10.4%US$0.49US$0.40n/a2
Sep ’25US$0.20
US$0.38
+91.8%
17.5%US$0.47US$0.30n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.16
US$0.38
+135.3%
17.5%US$0.47US$0.30n/a3
Jul ’25US$0.20
US$0.38
+90.8%
17.5%US$0.47US$0.30n/a3
Jun ’25US$0.15
US$0.37
+141.2%
19.1%US$0.46US$0.29n/a3
May ’25US$0.17
US$0.37
+126.6%
19.1%US$0.46US$0.29n/a3
Apr ’25US$0.18
US$0.37
+105.5%
15.7%US$0.43US$0.29n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.37
0%
15.7%US$0.43US$0.29n/a3
Feb ’25US$0.15
US$0.37
+150.3%
15.7%US$0.43US$0.29n/a3
Jan ’25US$0.13
US$0.37
+185.0%
25.8%US$0.48US$0.25n/a3
Dec ’24US$0.13
US$0.37
+182.5%
21.8%US$0.47US$0.27n/a3
Nov ’24US$0.14
US$0.37
+153.3%
21.8%US$0.47US$0.27US$0.173
Oct ’24US$0.15
US$0.36
+141.3%
20.7%US$0.45US$0.27US$0.213
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.37
0%
20.7%US$0.46US$0.28US$0.203
Aug ’24US$0.16
US$0.37
+132.3%
20.7%US$0.46US$0.28US$0.163
Jul ’24US$0.19
US$0.37
+94.6%
20.7%US$0.46US$0.28US$0.203
Jun ’24US$0.18
US$0.37
+106.5%
20.7%US$0.46US$0.28US$0.153
May ’24US$0.16
US$0.37
+126.1%
17.8%US$0.46US$0.27US$0.174
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.36
0%
31.8%US$0.49US$0.18US$0.184
Mar ’24US$0.12
US$0.36
+201.5%
31.8%US$0.49US$0.18n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.36
0%
31.8%US$0.49US$0.18US$0.154
Jan ’24US$0.10
US$0.35
+234.9%
32.8%US$0.46US$0.17US$0.134
Dec ’23US$0.12
US$0.35
+193.1%
32.8%US$0.46US$0.17US$0.134
Nov ’23US$0.12
US$0.35
+190.6%
32.8%US$0.46US$0.17US$0.144

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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