PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk

OTCPK:PADE.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.1b

Alamtri Resources Indonesia Valuation

Is PADE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PADE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PADE.F ($0.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PADE.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PADE.F?

Key metric: As PADE.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PADE.F. This is calculated by dividing PADE.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PADE.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.4x
EarningsUS$1.61b
Market CapUS$7.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PADE.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PADE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.8x
BTU Peabody Energy
5.5x-7.7%US$2.9b
CEIX CONSOL Energy
9.4x-1.0%US$3.9b
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners
8x-7.2%US$3.6b
NRP Natural Resource Partners
8.3xn/aUS$1.4b
PADE.F Alamtri Resources Indonesia
4.4x-18.4%US$112.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PADE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PADE.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PADE.F 4.4xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PADE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.4x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PADE.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PADE.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PADE.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PADE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$0.23
0%
18.5%US$0.30US$0.13n/a17
Nov ’25US$0.24
US$0.23
-2.9%
17.4%US$0.30US$0.13n/a17
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.23
0%
16.7%US$0.27US$0.12n/a17
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.21
0%
19.1%US$0.27US$0.12n/a15
Aug ’25US$0.19
US$0.20
+4.1%
17.4%US$0.27US$0.12n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.19
0%
18.0%US$0.27US$0.12n/a16
Jun ’25US$0.18
US$0.19
+5.4%
17.2%US$0.27US$0.13n/a16
May ’25n/a
US$0.19
0%
20.2%US$0.27US$0.13n/a17
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.18
0%
17.8%US$0.27US$0.13n/a16
Mar ’25US$0.15
US$0.19
+23.3%
17.8%US$0.27US$0.13n/a15
Feb ’25US$0.15
US$0.19
+28.1%
17.9%US$0.27US$0.13n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.19
0%
17.1%US$0.27US$0.15n/a16
Dec ’24US$0.17
US$0.20
+19.1%
19.8%US$0.29US$0.15n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
19.3%US$0.29US$0.15US$0.2415
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
20.4%US$0.29US$0.15n/a15
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
20.5%US$0.29US$0.15n/a16
Aug ’24n/a
US$0.23
0%
22.7%US$0.36US$0.15US$0.1917
Jul ’24US$0.15
US$0.25
+64.8%
18.1%US$0.37US$0.16n/a19
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.25
0%
17.1%US$0.37US$0.17US$0.1820
May ’24n/a
US$0.26
0%
17.1%US$0.36US$0.17n/a20
Apr ’24US$0.19
US$0.26
+37.2%
17.1%US$0.36US$0.17n/a20
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.27
0%
15.3%US$0.35US$0.18US$0.1519
Feb ’24US$0.16
US$0.28
+71.3%
15.1%US$0.35US$0.18US$0.1520
Jan ’24US$0.25
US$0.28
+10.6%
13.4%US$0.35US$0.21n/a21
Dec ’23n/a
US$0.28
0%
16.2%US$0.35US$0.17US$0.1720
Nov ’23n/a
US$0.28
0%
13.6%US$0.33US$0.17n/a19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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