Tellurian Valuation

Is TELL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TELL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TELL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TELL's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TELL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TELL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-19.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TELL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TELL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.5x
BRY Berry
0.6x-4.0%US$519.3m
REPX Riley Exploration Permian
1.6x5.1%US$641.1m
PBT Permian Basin Royalty Trust
18.6xn/aUS$551.4m
REI Ring Energy
1.1x6.8%US$376.1m
TELL Tellurian
3.8x46.0%US$518.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TELL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (5.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TELL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TELL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.8x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TELL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TELL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.8x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TELL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TELL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.64
US$1.59
+146.9%
62.9%US$2.60US$0.25n/a4
Jul ’25US$0.63
US$1.59
+153.0%
62.9%US$2.60US$0.25n/a4
Jun ’25US$0.51
US$1.61
+213.2%
69.4%US$3.30US$0.25n/a5
May ’25US$0.44
US$2.14
+385.6%
81.3%US$5.00US$0.40n/a5
Apr ’25US$0.61
US$2.14
+248.1%
81.3%US$5.00US$0.40n/a5
Mar ’25US$0.77
US$1.85
+141.1%
99.2%US$5.00US$0.40n/a4
Feb ’25US$0.46
US$2.44
+425.0%
67.4%US$5.00US$0.40n/a5
Jan ’25US$0.76
US$2.64
+249.4%
57.3%US$5.00US$0.40n/a5
Dec ’24US$0.65
US$2.64
+306.2%
57.3%US$5.00US$0.40n/a5
Nov ’24US$0.70
US$2.53
+259.4%
52.7%US$5.00US$0.90n/a6
Oct ’24US$1.16
US$3.87
+233.3%
78.7%US$10.00US$0.90n/a6
Sep ’24US$1.14
US$3.87
+239.2%
78.7%US$10.00US$0.90n/a6
Aug ’24US$1.65
US$3.54
+114.7%
82.5%US$10.00US$1.00n/a7
Jul ’24US$1.41
US$3.54
+151.3%
82.5%US$10.00US$1.00US$0.637
Jun ’24US$1.22
US$3.54
+190.4%
82.5%US$10.00US$1.00US$0.517
May ’24US$1.37
US$3.66
+166.9%
77.7%US$10.00US$1.30US$0.447
Apr ’24US$1.23
US$4.04
+228.7%
72.9%US$10.00US$1.30US$0.617
Mar ’24US$1.48
US$4.04
+173.2%
72.9%US$10.00US$1.30US$0.777
Feb ’24US$1.98
US$4.66
+135.5%
52.9%US$10.00US$1.80US$0.468
Jan ’24US$1.68
US$4.66
+177.5%
52.9%US$10.00US$1.80US$0.768
Dec ’23US$2.47
US$4.66
+88.8%
52.9%US$10.00US$1.80US$0.658
Nov ’23US$2.74
US$4.69
+71.1%
52.0%US$10.00US$2.00US$0.708
Oct ’23US$2.39
US$4.81
+101.4%
50.3%US$10.00US$2.00US$1.168
Sep ’23US$3.85
US$5.56
+44.5%
40.6%US$10.00US$3.00US$1.148
Aug ’23US$3.56
US$6.08
+70.6%
32.1%US$10.00US$3.50US$1.658
Jul ’23US$2.99
US$6.73
+125.2%
25.6%US$10.00US$3.50US$1.419

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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