TC Energy Corporation

NYSE:TRP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$71.3b

TC Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

TC Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.7% and 4.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.4% in 3 years.

Key information

11.7%

Earnings growth rate

9.57%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth11.3%
Revenue growth rate4.6%
Future return on equity15.39%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 07

TC Energy: Present Valuation Reduces The Appeal

Summary TC Energy is largely a pure-play midstream natural gas pipeline infrastructure player operating in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. TRP's business model is anchored in long-term, rate-regulated natural gas pipeline contracts, providing predictable cash flows but little exposure to commodity fluctuations, both in upside as well as downside. Recent price appreciation has compressed yields materially. At current valuation, expected returns appear largely dependent on dividend income and modest contractual growth at large. The company keeps depending on capital markets to fund its capital needs, at times also being free cash flow negative post-capex and funding capital providers, including common stock dividends. TRP is rated a hold because the present ~3.75% yield is fully priced and does not leave much scope for investors while reducing margin of error as well. The current yield, in addition, is at a ~5-year historically low level, suggesting a wait-and-watch approach for a price correction. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 22

Why TC Energy Is A Must-Have For Income And Growth Investors

Summary TC Energy remains a high-quality pick for income, value, and growth, driven by its strong focus on natural gas infrastructure post South Bow spin-off. TRP's robust financial results, disciplined capital allocation, and reduced capital expenditure estimates highlight its operational efficiency and financial flexibility. With a 5.1% dividend yield and commitment to 3-5% annual dividend growth, TRP is attractive for income-focused investors. With a reasonable valuation and strong growth prospects, TRP is poised to potentially deliver at least market-level total returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 27

Pipelines Of Prosperity: TC Energy's 4.8% Yield Is Just The Beginning

Summary TC Energy Corporation offers a compelling 4.8% dividend yield, benefiting from rising global natural gas demand and North America's growing LNG exports. The company's extensive North American pipeline network and regulated contracts ensure stable revenue, minimizing natural gas price risks. Disciplined capital allocation and an improving balance sheet enhance sustainability, with no need for new equity issuance. Despite recent gains, TC Energy remains undervalued, presenting further upside potential for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

TC Energy: Liquids Spin-Off Creates A Premier Gas Midstream

Summary Following the spin-off of its liquids pipelines business as South Bow, TC Energy has become a pure-play gas midstream, operating across Canada, the US, and Mexico. The divestment has also been margin accretive with an estimated uplift of 4pp/3pp to group level 9M 24 EBITDA/EBIT margins, boosting TC's already strong profitability further. We believe TC Energy is well-positioned to capitalize on structural trends in natural gas demand including LNG and AI and initiate shares at Overweight and a $46/sh price target. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25

TC Energy: 6% Yield Amidst A North American Energy Boom

Summary TC Energy is a compelling investment for dividend-focused investors with its 6% yield, steady cashflows, and 24 years of consecutive dividend raises. TRP's robust growth prospects are driven by North American natural gas demand, project completions like Coastal GasLink, and a simplified business model post-South Bow spinoff. Despite not being a bargain at $47, TRP's valuation remains reasonable with a P/CF ratio within its historical range, with potential for market-beating returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 29

TC Energy: Buy This 6.3% Yielding Dividend Aristocrat Before Everyone Else Does

Summary TC Energy is a high-yield dividend aristocrat with a 6.3% yield, showcasing dependable growth and low risk, ideal for conservative income investors. The company operates a vast midstream infrastructure, supplying 30% of North America's natural gas, and plans to focus on natural gas and electric utilities. With a strong commitment to dividend growth and a robust financial strategy, TC Energy offers long-term returns of 12.5% to 13.3%. TRP has excellent long-term risk management, with a strong BBB+ credit rating and risk management in the top 12% of global companies. TRP is an excellent low volatility, high-yield dividend aristocrat (this year). It's a great choice for conservative income investors not comfortable with the market's steadily rising valuations and increasing volatility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 22

TC Energy: Growth Focused MLP With Signs Of Becoming A Stable Cash Cow

Summary TC Energy Corporation registered yet another quarter of solid EBITDA growth. Yet, the level of growth was not the key driver behind the recent surge in the stock price. Instead, more important drivers were the large chunk of previously committed CapEx project coming online and a communicated path of an incremental CapEx reduction going forward. In this article, I elaborate on why I have decided to upgrade my rating to buy after the circulated Q2, 2024 earnings deck. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 15

TC Energy: Get Paid 6.4% To Own Low-Risk Mission-Critical Pipelines

Summary The midstream sector, especially TC Energy, has gained prominence for income investors due to its stable, volume-based revenue streams. TRP benefits from a robust North American infrastructure and growth in natural gas demand, supported by strategic divestitures and new investments. With a 6% dividend yield and improving financials, TRP offers strong income potential. However, currency risks and modest dividend growth may be concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 02

TC Energy: The Issue With Leverage Makes This A Suboptimal Choice

Summary TC Energy Corporation is a large midstream operator with a market cap of $39 billion and similar operations to most of its peers. However, starting from mid-2022, TC Energy Corporation has significantly underperformed the benchmark index. Despite this, TC Energy still trades at a relatively rich multiple and offers an average dividend yield. In this article, I assess the key fundamentals of TC Energy to see whether there is a solid investment case for investors to consider. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 08

Why 7.5%-Yielding TC Energy Is A Compelling Investment For Value Investors?

Summary Warren Buffett hinted at a possible investment opportunity in Canada, sparking speculation among investors. TC Energy could be a potential target for Buffett, offering a wide-moat business in the North American energy sector. TRP presents an undervalued opportunity with steady dividend growth, robust infrastructure assets, and strategic initiatives for debt reduction and growth projects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

7%-Yielding TC Energy May Be One Of The Best Income Plays On The Market

Summary TC Energy is a compelling income play in a market with elevated risk and subdued returns. The company's focus on resilient, contracted midstream operations and strong dividend track record offer stability and potential for long-term growth. The upcoming spin-off of its liquids pipelines business and commitment to debt reduction enhance its value proposition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 07

TC Energy: Series 7 Preferred Shares Ready For Takeoff

Summary We expect a significant upside for the TC Energy preferred shares, Series 7, over the next six months. The opportunity that comes from the reset of the fixed dividend yield happens only once every five years, and reset at much higher rates is even rarer. An increase in the fixed rate could result in the price reaching or even exceeding the issue price, providing for north of 39% upside in the long term. A potential decrease in interest rates by the Government of Canada later this year would also represent a tailwind for the preferred shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 16

TC Energy: Massive Q4 Beat And 3% Dividend Increase

Summary TC Energy Corporation's Q4 2023 adjusted EBITDA of over $3.11 billion exceeded expectations. The company made progress on all its projects and achieved solid results across all segments. The dividend was increased to a $3.84 CAD annualized run rate. We analyze the numbers and tell you where we stand. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 01

TC Energy: A Solid 7% Yield With 23 Years Of Consecutive Raises

Summary TC Energy is a Canadian midstream energy company with a strong portfolio of pipelines and power-generating assets. TRP has seen long-term growth through various economic and energy cycles and offers a 7% dividend yield with 23 consecutive years of dividend raises. Despite some setbacks, TRP has completed its Coastal GasLink project and has taken steps to improve its balance sheet. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11

TC Energy: May Be A Value Trap

Summary TC Energy looks enticing with a high 7.00% dividend yield and 10-yr low valuations. But I believe it is a value trap. The company is an FCF bleeder, and this is expected to continue. Its dividends are funded by net debt issuances and its ROIC is below its cost of capital. TC Energy's debt portfolio is locked in at near all-time high interest rates heading into 2024 when rate cuts are expected. High debt servicing costs may be forcing asset sales. The company is pursuing asset sales as part of an aggressive deleveraging goal, but there may be some desperation in the selling, elevating value destruction risks. The value creation rationale for the spinoff of their Liquids business is unclear. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 08

TC Energy: Preferreds Offer Big Yields With Large Premium Over Debt

Summary TC Energy's plan to spin off its liquids division and focus on natural gas transportation has not exactly been well received. We examine the plan of action to see if they can make the required debt metrics. We tell which preferred shares offer a big yield in our outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 08

With A 7.5% Yield, And An Upcoming Spinoff, TC Energy Is Attractive

Summary TC Energy is an attractive investment opportunity in the energy sector, with the spinoff and reorganization offering potential for high-yield stocks. The company's fundamentals, including revenue and EBITDA growth, make it a solid dividend growth stock with a track record of consecutive increases. TC Energy's focus on natural gas, electricity, and hydrogen presents growth opportunities, and its diversification across the energy value chain reduces risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 23

TC Energy Preferred Stocks: Better Than Any U.S. Preferred Stocks

Summary TC Energy (TRP) preferred stocks are investment grade rated BBB- by S&P with yields that are far superior to U.S. preferred stocks of similar quality. TRP-E (TRP.PR.E) and TRP-D (TRP.PR.E) are reset-rate preferred stocks that are set to have their yields take a huge jump in 2024 when the dividend is reset. At the current Canadian government’s 5 year note yield of 4.25%, TRP-E and TRP-D will reset to yields of 12.06% and 11.06% respectively with yields locked in for 5 years. TRP's preferred stock dividends are “qualified” (tax benefitted) and thus they will generate very large after tax yields. As their reset dates get nearer, I expect strong price upside for these preferred stocks generating a large total return on one’s investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 05

TC Energy: Not Every Falling Knife Is Worth Catching

Summary TC Energy Corporation investors have seen a significant decline in the stock after the company decided to separate its natural gas and liquids pipeline business. TRP has recently dropped below its July lows as sellers digested all the gains from its recent recovery. Questions must be asked whether the falling knife is worth catching. I assessed that TRP's stock metrics don't present a best-of-breed opportunity among the energy infrastructure plays. Investors must assess heightened execution risks from its business separation. With market conditions expected to remain challenging, given the surge in 10Y Treasury yields, TRP could find it hard to form a bottom. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 26

Why TC Energy Is A Better Buy Than Enbridge

Summary Enbridge Inc.’s recent acquisitions make it look more like TC Energy Corporation. We consider the prospects for Enbridge shares in a TC Energy-like business separation. Our analysis shows that TC Energy Corporation offers significantly greater upside potential than Enbridge. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 05

TC Energy: Growth Business Strategy And Attractive 7.5% Dividend Yield Make Stock Appealing

Summary TC Energy is a prominent energy infrastructure company operating in the US, Canada, and Mexico. The company's separated assets and infrastructures in various energy platforms make it prominent and well-positioned to meet future energy demand. TRP's financial outlook is positive, with a focus on generating adjusted EBITDA from regulated rates and long-term contracts, leading to improved cash flow and shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 16

TC Energy: A High Yield And Growing Dividend Pipeline Play

Summary TC Energy has experienced a significant drop in share price, which has made it look incredibly cheap. The company is undergoing changes, including sales and a split into two separate entities. Despite the challenges, TC Energy is expected to see growth in EBITDA and dividends, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 03

It's The Best Time In 23 Years To Buy 8% Yielding TC Energy

Summary TC Energy Corporation's yield just hit a 23-year high of 8%, yet the dividend is very conservative and in 2025 TRP becomes a dividend aristocrat. TC Energy announced a spinoff and asset sale that will allow it to grow 7% over time, generating 15% long-term return potential, better than the Nasdaq but with an 8% yield. The company has a self-funding business model, an industry low 50% payout ratio, and the 2nd strongest credit rating in midstream. The bond market is betting millions that TRP will still be around and thriving in 2081, almost 60 years from now. TC Energy Corporation is 30% undervalued, offers 60% upside in the next 18 months, and has 150% total return potential in the next five years, almost 4X more than the S&P 500. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 27

TC Energy Shares Have Fallen Too Far (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Until now, we have recommended avoiding TC Energy Corporation shares due to ongoing operational and management issues. However, the shares have fallen to a point that overly discounts the company’s troubles and ignores its high-quality assets and growth prospects. We’re upgrading our rating to Buy with a $54 price target. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 26

TC Energy: High Yield And Exposure To The Energy Transition

Summary TC Energy Corporation is one of the largest midstream corporations in North America, boasting operations stretching from Canada to Mexico. The company makes the majority of its income from transporting and storing natural gas, which differentiates it from liquids-focused peers. The company promotes itself as a "sustainable energy" firm, but the majority of its growth spending is on natural gas pipelines. The company's debt level is a lot higher than we really want to see and is quite a bit higher than other Canadian midstream companies. The current 6.89% yield appears to be quite sustainable going forward. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TRP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202817,3704,8932,6678,74210
12/31/202716,7474,4652,6048,51412
12/31/202615,9724,0071,9548,49112
3/31/202615,4773,5333,7948,590N/A
12/31/202515,2393,6122,0607,346N/A
9/30/202514,6483,7221,9517,536N/A
6/30/202514,3024,2471,4397,531N/A
3/31/202513,8854,1896907,013N/A
12/31/202413,7714,1991,3387,696N/A
9/30/202411,7633,9816817,472N/A
6/30/202412,3452,4462947,381N/A
3/31/202412,8481,892-5497,236N/A
12/31/202313,2672,217-8817,268N/A
9/30/202315,739-81-7207,433N/A
6/30/202315,598957-6317,310N/A
3/31/202315,4051,596-4276,742N/A
12/31/202212,3098-3526,375N/A
9/30/202214,5203,206-1096,151N/A
6/30/202213,9613,1443046,162N/A
3/31/202213,5063,2301,1316,931N/A
12/31/202113,3871,8159666,890N/A
9/30/202113,1001,8217597,028N/A
6/30/202113,0551,9462137,099N/A
3/31/202112,9622,252-6617,001N/A
12/31/202012,9994,457-1,0777,058N/A
9/30/202012,9654,441-1,4326,945N/A
6/30/202012,9034,276-1,5696,747N/A
3/31/202013,1864,120-1,2586,856N/A
12/31/201913,2553,976N/A7,082N/A
9/30/201913,8963,960N/A7,295N/A
6/30/201913,9194,149N/A7,009N/A
3/31/201913,7423,809N/A7,092N/A
12/31/201813,6793,539N/A6,555N/A
9/30/201813,3923,308N/A5,906N/A
6/30/201813,4312,992N/A5,792N/A
3/31/201813,4663,088N/A5,340N/A
12/31/201713,4492,997N/A5,230N/A
9/30/201713,4931,778N/A5,415N/A
6/30/201713,9301,031N/A5,495N/A
3/31/201713,451515N/A5,290N/A
12/31/201612,547124N/A5,069N/A
9/30/201611,737-1,976N/A4,902N/A
6/30/201611,049-1,439N/A4,884N/A
3/31/201610,929-1,375N/A4,705N/A
12/31/201511,353-1,240N/A4,384N/A
9/30/201511,0651,676N/A3,715N/A
6/30/201510,5721,731N/A3,710N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TRP's forecast earnings growth (11.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: TRP's earnings (11.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TRP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TRP's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TRP's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TRP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 23:07
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TC Energy Corporation is covered by 44 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Christine ChoBarclays