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Sitio Royalties Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Sitio Royalties's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 11.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 0.5% per annum.
Key information
11.6%
Earnings growth rate
0.46%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas earnings growth | 11.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | -1.2% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 17 Aug 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
New Narrative • May 26
Expanding Royalty Interests Will Secure Long-Term Value Despite Market Volatility
Scalable, asset-light business model and diversified acquisitions support resilient margins, robust cash flow, and stable dividends regardless of commodity cycles.Seeking Alpha • May 15
Sitio Royalties: Strong Start To 2025 With Total Production Results
Summary Sitio's Q1 2025 total production was 6% above its full-year guidance midpoint, while its oil production was 2% above that guidance midpoint. Sitio generated $0.75 per share in Q1 2025 discretionary cash flow. This may be reduced to around $0.60 per share during the remaining quarters in 2025 due to weaker oil prices. Sitio's estimated value is now $24 to $25 per share at long-term (after 2026) $70 WTI oil and $3.75 NYMEX natural gas. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 18
Is Sitio Royalties (NYSE:STR) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Mar 02
Sitio Royalties: Strong Total Production, But Oil Cut Is Slightly Declining
Summary Sitio reached record highs for total production in Q4 2024, although its oil production was slightly lower than the highs of Q2 2024. Sitio expects its oil cut to be around 47% in 2025 compared to 50% in 2024. Sitio's total production guidance for 2025 was solid, but its oil production guidance was a bit lower than what I expected. The company is projected to generate $2.81 per share in discretionary cash flow in 2025 at current strip. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 06
Getting In Cheap On Sitio Royalties Corp. (NYSE:STR) Is Unlikely
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Dec 13
Sitio Royalties: Improved Future Production Outlook
Summary Sitio Royalties Corp.'s Q3 2024 production exceeded expectation, and it increased its full-year guidance by 1,000 BOEPD. This was mainly attributable to legacy asset outperformance. Sitio is projected to generate around $2.84 per share in discretionary cash flow in 2025 at near $70 WTI oil. I have increased my estimate of STR's value to $28 per share. This is based on Sitio's production stabilizing around 38,000 BOEPD, around 1,000 BOEPD higher than my prior assumptions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 12
Sitio Royalties' (NYSE:STR) Dividend Is Being Reduced To $0.28
Sitio Royalties Corp. ( NYSE:STR ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to $0.28 on the 27th of...Analysis Article • Oct 01
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Sitio Royalties Corp. (NYSE:STR)
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Jul 17
For A Number Of Reasons, I Would Not Buy Sitio Royalties Corp.
Summary Sitio's $200 million stock repurchase plan is irrational because it increases their financial leverage in a risky commodity business. Their negative total return since their 2017 IPO reflects their weak business model. A Trump win in November could result in lower energy prices, which is good for consumers, but bad for royalty investors. Sitio Royalties is effectively controlled by Kimmeridge. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 03
We Think Sitio Royalties (NYSE:STR) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • May 01
Sitio Royalties Corp.'s (NYSE:STR) Price In Tune With Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Apr 27
Sitio Royalties: DJ Basin Acquisition Boosts FCF, But May Delay An Increased Payout Ratio
Summary Sitio made a $150 million cash DJ Basin acquisition at a 4.0x multiple to asset level cash flow. The low purchase price multiple appears to be due to a high base decline rate and limited inventory. Sitio is projected to generate $2.75 per share in 2024 free cash flow. It may pay 35% to 65% of that out in dividends. An increased payout ratio may be delayed to 2026 due to Sitio's use of cash for its latest acquisition. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 09
Upgrading Sitio Royalties To A Buy Following A 20% Decline In Share Price
Summary Sitio Royalties has taken steps to reduce debt and increase cash flows, including refinancing high-interest senior notes and selling off assets in the Appalachia and Anadarko Basins. These actions will save the company over $20 million annually in interest expenses, which will be used for additional distributions and debt repayment. Strong permitting activity in the DJ basin will provide additional avenues for revenue growth. An 8.5% dividend can be supported at $74/barrel WTI. Following the recent share price decline, I have upgraded STR to a BUY. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 02
Sitio Royalties (NYSE:STR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Dec 19
Investors Interested In Sitio Royalties Corp.'s (NYSE:STR) Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Oct 23
Sitio Royalties: New Notes Reduce Interest Costs By Around $15 Million Per Year
Summary Sitio's new 7.875% unsecured notes due November 2028 have a lower interest rate than its other debt. Sitio's variable interest rate notes due September 2026 have an effective interest rate of over 11%. Sitio's interest costs should be reduced by around $15 million per year. Sitio's free cash flow in 2024 should exceed $3 per share at current strip. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 16
Sitio Royalties: Dividend Should Be Higher During Remainder Of 2023
Summary Sitio Royalties Corp. made a number of Permian Basin acquisitions for $247.9 million. It paid for the acquisitions with approximately 2.5 million shares and $181 million in cash. Sitio's net debt is temporarily above $1 billion. At current strip, Sitio Royalties Corp. can pay a $0.48 per share quarterly dividend during the rest of 2023 at a 65% payout ratio. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 12
Sitio Royalties' (NYSE:STR) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
Sitio Royalties Corp. ( NYSE:STR ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to $0.40 on the 31st of...Analysis Article • Jun 08
Estimating The Fair Value Of Sitio Royalties Corp. (NYSE:STR)
Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Sitio Royalties fair value estimate is US$26.59 With US$27.19 share...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 598 | 44 | 415 | 404 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 584 | 33 | 405 | 405 | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 582 | 22 | 369 | 375 | 3 |
| 6/30/2025 | 614 | 35 | 258 | 433 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 637 | 42 | 113 | 445 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 624 | 40 | 133 | 462 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 619 | -5 | 300 | 489 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 626 | -17 | 143 | 473 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 594 | -31 | 294 | 479 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 593 | -17 | 317 | 488 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 544 | 21 | 177 | 349 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 503 | 30 | 113 | 309 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 454 | 37 | -306 | 249 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 370 | 15 | -393 | 165 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 320 | 63 | -374 | 196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 238 | 54 | -284 | 131 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 170 | 47 | 59 | 101 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 121 | 47 | 27 | 66 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 84 | 2 | 15 | 44 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 60 | -2 | 28 | 34 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 52 | -8 | 9 | 27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 46 | -14 | -10 | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 60 | 9 | -233 | 35 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: STR's forecast earnings growth (11.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.1%).
Earnings vs Market: STR's earnings (11.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: STR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: STR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: STR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.2% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if STR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/08/18 05:38 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/08/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Sitio Royalties Corp. is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jeanine Wai | Barclays |
| Jeanine Wai | Barclays |
| Wei Jiang | Barclays |