Shell plc

NYSE:SHEL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$194.4b

Shell Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Shell's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.9% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 4.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 9.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.3% in 3 years.

Key information

4.8%

Earnings growth rate

9.7%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.0%
Revenue growth rate-2.9%
Future return on equity10.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Shell Is A Great Integrated Oil Company

Dec 26

Shell: U.K. Upstream Merger Is A Good Sign For Shell And A Bad One For The U.K.

Dec 06

Shell: Take The Time To Consider This Given The Strong Earnings Report

Nov 01

Shell's Upcoming Earnings: A Beat Seems Likely, Don't Expect A Surging Share Price

Oct 25

Shell: The Outlook Underwhelms (Rating Downgrade)

Sep 12

Shell Is Transitioning Back To Being An Oil And Gas Producer

Aug 21

Shell: Well On Track To Deliver On CMD Sprint

Aug 10

Shell Stock Has A Nice European Discount

Jul 19

Shell: Single-Digit P/E With Share-Price Momentum, A FCF Stalwart

Jul 10

Shell Is On The Right Track

Jun 18

Shell: Strong Q1 Blows Estimates Out Of The Water

May 27

3 Reasons Shell Remains A Buy

May 12

Shell: LNG Leadership Makes For An Attractive Risk/Reward

Mar 28

Shell: Higher Reserve And An Attractive Valuation

Mar 22

Shell: Earnings Report Is More Positive Than Not

Feb 03

Shell Is Refocusing The Future Of The Firm

Jan 18

Shell: Lower Oil Prices Hurt, But Shares Still A Bargain With A High Yield

Jan 11

OPEC+ Decision Will Likely Support Shell Earnings

Dec 06

Shell: A Buy Near Its All-Time High

Nov 05

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SHEL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027268,21320,70621,68243,3401
12/31/2026281,48022,44326,56748,5059
12/31/2025273,80222,80726,75148,85310
12/31/2024294,18922,92531,56651,4159
9/30/2024296,76215,63834,01754,091N/A
6/30/2024302,02518,39031,09751,740N/A
3/31/2024302,13918,00832,55053,362N/A
12/31/2023316,62019,35931,19854,191N/A
9/30/2023339,19129,29741,57664,027N/A
6/30/2023358,58928,99641,77364,233N/A
3/31/2023384,06943,90243,23467,758N/A
12/31/2022381,31442,30945,81468,414N/A
9/30/2022365,29143,36031,76054,178N/A
6/30/2022329,58536,17035,86757,664N/A
3/31/2022290,04321,55732,27351,625N/A
12/31/2021261,50420,10126,10445,104N/A
9/30/2021220,2124,62625,25243,222N/A
6/30/2021204,1915,56220,59737,600N/A
3/31/2021176,179-15,99611,34127,548N/A
12/31/2020180,543-21,68017,52034,105N/A
9/30/2020220,561-16,70219,99738,083N/A
6/30/2020263,132-11,31219,53439,932N/A
3/31/2020321,1719,81726,28648,399N/A
12/31/2019344,87715,84219,20742,178N/A
9/30/2019363,09920,46830,52353,934N/A
6/30/2019376,65720,42830,55553,774N/A
3/31/2019382,87923,45428,90052,243N/A
12/31/2018388,37923,35230,07453,085N/A
9/30/2018371,57321,56916,61438,339N/A
6/30/2018347,25219,817N/A33,829N/A
3/31/2018322,61815,338N/A35,614N/A
12/31/2017305,17912,977N/A35,650N/A
9/30/2017284,52410,711N/A37,545N/A
6/30/2017270,5497,999N/A38,455N/A
3/31/2017256,8337,629N/A29,462N/A
12/31/2016233,5914,575N/A20,615N/A
9/30/2016226,9703,973N/A16,868N/A
6/30/2016233,821-4,818N/A19,607N/A
3/31/2016247,808-2,007N/A23,365N/A
12/31/2015264,9601,939N/A29,810N/A
9/30/2015299,1881,595N/A33,995N/A
6/30/2015338,33313,474N/A35,575N/A
3/31/2015377,15314,795N/A38,166N/A
12/31/2014421,10514,874N/A45,044N/A
9/30/2014437,97416,060N/A41,464N/A
6/30/2014446,63616,274N/A39,062N/A
3/31/2014448,08312,704N/A42,865N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHEL's forecast earnings growth (4.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SHEL's earnings (4.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SHEL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SHEL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SHEL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.9% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SHEL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 23:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shell plc is covered by 77 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thijs BerkelderABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Alejandro AcostaAlezor Research
Alexandre AndlauerAlphaValue