North American Construction Group Ltd.

NYSE:NOA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$381.0m

North American Construction Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

North American Construction Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 33.3% and 9.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 33.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.5% in 3 years.

Key information

33.3%

Earnings growth rate

33.71%

EPS growth rate

Energy Services earnings growth21.1%
Revenue growth rate9.4%
Future return on equity13.50%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated18 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Mar 17

Stronger Backlog, Higher Leverage: North American Construction's Strategy Tested

Summary North American Construction (NOA) is expanding aggressively in Australia, leveraging the IMC acquisition to boost its mining contractor platform and backlog by ~30%. NOA’s backlog reached $3.9 billion, with management projecting 7% revenue and 12% adjusted EBITDA growth for FY2026, driven by IMC synergies. Following a 20% stock price drop and underpriced valuation multiples, I upgrade my rating to 'Hold' on improved backlog momentum but elevated financial risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 06

North American Construction Will Start To Fire From All Cylinders (Upgrade)

Summary North American Construction Group Ltd.'s diversified contracts in Australia and Canada, coupled with improved fleet utilization, are expected to drive significant revenue and EBITDA growth in 2025. Despite high debt, improved profit margins and cash flow recovery are anticipated, enabling NOA to reduce leverage and increase dividends. NOA stock is undervalued compared to peers, which supports a “Buy” rating, with expectations of higher returns in the medium term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 04

North American Construction Group: Steady Project Flows Curtailed By Utilization Concerns

Summary NOA has opportunities in the Australian heavy equipment market and oil sands industry, with recent awards improving asset utilization. Despite undervaluation, NOA's balance sheet with high debt and deteriorated cash flows raises concerns for strong returns in the short term. Acquisition of MacKellar diversified NOA's portfolio, but challenges like adverse weather and asset mobilization affected recent performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 17

North American Construction - MacKellar Acquisition Makes This Too Cheap To Ignore

Summary North American Construction Group is a global provider of earthmoving services to the mining and oil and gas sectors. The recent acquisition of the MacKellar Group in Australia diversifies NOA's commodity exposure and is expected to boost earnings by ~50% in 2024. NOA's shares are trading at a low valuation of 6.7x Fwd P/E, making them a compelling buy with significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 29

Bonhoeffer Capital - North American Construction Group: Awash With Competitive Advantages And Barriers To Entry

Summary North American Construction Group is a construction services firm that provides heavy civil and bulk earthmoving services in supply-constrained markets. NAC has experienced significant growth in equipment utilization, return on invested capital (RoIC), and return on equity (RoE) over the past decade. The company has a strong competitive advantage in the industry, with a large equipment fleet, indigenous partnerships, and a contracted backlog of $3.0 billion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 12

North American Construction Group: Interesting Indirect Mining Play

Summary North American Construction Group Ltd. announced the acquisition of Australian Heavy Equipment Solution provider MacKellar Group. The acquisition brings diversification in terms of geographical region, activities, and end clients. The deal is seen as very accretive to earnings per share and improves pro forma EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NOA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,49674693185
12/31/20261,40157422785
3/31/20261,263332242N/A
12/31/20251,28434-21264N/A
9/30/20251,28437-8285N/A
6/30/20251,25434-47248N/A
3/31/20251,21039-51250N/A
12/31/20241,16644-67241N/A
9/30/20241,18858-8309N/A
6/30/20241,099555291N/A
3/31/20241,0175321265N/A
12/31/20239656375278N/A
9/30/20238707245188N/A
6/30/20238648046182N/A
3/31/20238377652177N/A
12/31/20227706754169N/A
9/30/20227175744157N/A
6/30/20226925048158N/A
3/31/20226634636147N/A
12/31/20216545151165N/A
9/30/20216094647162N/A
6/30/20215363922131N/A
3/31/20214675034140N/A
12/31/20204984929147N/A
9/30/20205524738167N/A
6/30/20206254820160N/A
3/31/2020731492159N/A
12/31/201971937N/A158N/A
9/30/201966131N/A112N/A
6/30/201957925N/A125N/A
3/31/201948211N/A118N/A
12/31/201841015N/A109N/A
9/30/201836115N/A78N/A
6/30/201834613N/A70N/A
3/31/20183147N/A64N/A
12/31/20172935N/A50N/A
9/30/20172732N/A48N/A
6/30/20172511N/A57N/A
3/31/20172283N/A45N/A
12/31/20162130N/A40N/A
9/30/2016216-1N/A48N/A
6/30/2016235-1N/A55N/A
3/31/2016275-1N/A77N/A
12/31/2015281-7N/A77N/A
9/30/2015329-8N/A76N/A
6/30/2015397-1N/A60N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NOA's forecast earnings growth (33.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: NOA's earnings (33.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NOA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NOA's revenue (9.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NOA's revenue (9.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NOA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.5%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 02:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

North American Construction Group Ltd. is covered by 12 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tim MonachelloATB Cormark
John GibsonBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Yuri LynkCanaccord Genuity