Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

NYSE:NGS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$308.5m

Natural Gas Services Group Valuation

Is NGS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NGS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NGS ($24.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($469.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NGS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NGS?

Key metric: As NGS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NGS. This is calculated by dividing NGS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NGS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.2x
EarningsUS$16.06m
Market CapUS$308.48m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NGS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NGS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.9x
RNGR Ranger Energy Services
21.1xn/aUS$310.3m
ESOA Energy Services of America
10.6xn/aUS$265.1m
TTI TETRA Technologies
63x53.6%US$450.8m
PFIE Profire Energy
13.1x1.4%US$117.3m
NGS Natural Gas Services Group
19.2x16.8%US$308.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NGS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NGS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Energy Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NCSM NCS Multistage Holdings
1.4x-107.5%US$59.07m
BASX.Q Basic Energy Services
n/an/aUS$24.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NGS 19.2xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies5PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NGS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the US Energy Services industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NGS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NGS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.2x
Fair PE Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NGS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NGS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$24.73
US$35.50
+43.6%
16.2%US$45.00US$30.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$27.76
US$35.50
+27.9%
16.2%US$45.00US$30.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$19.11
US$33.00
+72.7%
15.0%US$40.00US$27.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$19.57
US$33.00
+68.6%
15.0%US$40.00US$27.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$21.93
US$33.00
+50.5%
15.0%US$40.00US$27.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$19.65
US$31.00
+57.8%
9.5%US$35.00US$28.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$19.55
US$31.00
+58.6%
9.5%US$35.00US$28.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$21.76
US$31.00
+42.5%
9.5%US$35.00US$28.00n/a3
May ’25US$22.44
US$29.67
+32.2%
9.7%US$33.00US$26.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$20.25
US$22.33
+10.3%
14.8%US$26.00US$18.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$17.21
US$22.33
+29.8%
14.8%US$26.00US$18.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$14.85
US$22.33
+50.4%
14.8%US$26.00US$18.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$16.08
US$22.33
+38.9%
14.8%US$26.00US$18.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$15.53
US$24.50
+57.8%
6.1%US$26.00US$23.00US$27.762
Nov ’24US$14.15
US$23.50
+66.1%
10.6%US$26.00US$21.00US$19.112
Oct ’24US$14.56
US$23.50
+61.4%
10.6%US$26.00US$21.00US$19.572
Sep ’24US$10.75
US$23.50
+118.6%
10.6%US$26.00US$21.00US$21.932
Aug ’24US$10.35
US$22.50
+117.4%
15.6%US$26.00US$19.00US$19.652
Jul ’24US$9.90
US$22.50
+127.3%
15.6%US$26.00US$19.00US$19.552
Jun ’24US$9.80
US$22.50
+129.6%
15.6%US$26.00US$19.00US$21.762
May ’24US$10.47
US$21.50
+105.3%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$22.442
Apr ’24US$10.31
US$21.50
+108.5%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$20.252
Mar ’24US$11.00
US$21.50
+95.5%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$17.212
Feb ’24US$11.66
US$21.50
+84.4%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$14.852
Jan ’24US$11.46
US$21.50
+87.6%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$16.082
Dec ’23US$11.00
US$21.50
+95.5%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$15.532

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 16:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Joseph GibneyCapital One Securities, Inc.
Jon MorrisonCIBC Capital Markets
Gary FarberCL King & Associates, Inc.