DorianG Valuation

Is LPG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LPG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LPG ($40.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($53.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LPG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LPG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LPG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.8x
PEG Ratio-0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LPG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LPG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
SFL SFL
19.2x19.8%US$1.6b
GLP Global Partners
12.2x19.4%US$1.6b
GEL Genesis Energy
55.7xn/aUS$1.5b
FLNG FLEX LNG
11.6x7.6%US$1.4b
LPG DorianG
5.5x-33.5%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LPG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LPG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LPG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LPG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LPG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ratio4.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LPG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$40.89
US$40.54
-0.9%
12.9%US$48.90US$34.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$40.87
US$40.54
-0.8%
12.9%US$48.90US$34.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$36.23
US$39.12
+8.0%
14.7%US$48.90US$32.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$38.13
US$39.41
+3.4%
23.4%US$50.00US$23.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$43.87
US$39.34
-10.3%
23.4%US$50.00US$23.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$43.74
US$38.63
-11.7%
23.3%US$50.00US$23.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$34.77
US$34.20
-1.6%
9.9%US$40.00US$30.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$28.73
US$27.26
-5.1%
6.4%US$30.00US$25.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$27.09
US$27.26
+0.6%
6.4%US$30.00US$25.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$29.54
US$26.98
-8.7%
12.1%US$32.00US$22.00n/a6
Jul ’24US$25.65
US$26.52
+3.4%
11.5%US$32.00US$22.00n/a6
Jun ’24US$23.99
US$26.52
+10.5%
11.5%US$32.00US$22.00n/a6
May ’24US$22.36
US$22.85
+2.2%
15.1%US$27.00US$18.00n/a6
Apr ’24US$19.94
US$22.42
+12.4%
13.4%US$25.50US$18.00US$40.876
Mar ’24US$22.56
US$22.58
+0.1%
12.3%US$25.50US$19.00US$36.236
Feb ’24US$22.12
US$21.53
-2.7%
13.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$38.136
Jan ’24US$18.95
US$20.58
+8.6%
12.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$43.876
Dec ’23US$19.86
US$20.08
+1.1%
9.4%US$22.00US$17.00US$43.746
Nov ’23US$18.57
US$19.17
+3.2%
8.2%US$22.00US$17.00US$34.776
Oct ’23US$13.57
US$19.17
+41.2%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00US$28.736
Sep ’23US$14.05
US$19.17
+36.4%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00US$27.096
Aug ’23US$16.41
US$19.71
+20.1%
7.0%US$22.00US$17.00US$29.547
Jul ’23US$14.96
US$20.00
+33.7%
6.5%US$22.00US$18.00US$25.656
Jun ’23US$18.09
US$19.33
+6.9%
5.7%US$21.00US$18.00US$23.996
May ’23US$14.72
US$17.92
+21.7%
9.2%US$20.00US$15.00US$22.366
Apr ’23US$14.74
US$17.60
+19.4%
9.2%US$20.00US$15.00US$19.945

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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