Hess Midstream Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
Hess Midstream has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 44%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 5.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.6% per year. Hess Midstream's return on equity is 173.9%, and it has net margins of 23.2%.
Key information
44.00%
Earnings growth rate
11.63%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 33.67% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.64% |
| Return on equity | 173.94% |
| Net Margin | 23.23% |
| Last Earnings Update | 30 Jun 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 21
Hess Midstream: It Passed The Test The Bears Said It Would Fail
Summary Hess Midstream (HESM) remains a compelling Buy, offering a 7.93% forward yield and the sector’s cheapest EV/EBITDA multiple. Q2 2026 saw earnings and free cash flow growth, margin expansion to 85%, and another distribution increase, reaffirming robust income stability. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance, targets 5% annual distribution growth through 2028, and is on track to reduce leverage to 2.5x by 2028. Counterparty risk with Chevron and contract resets post-2033 are notable, but HESM’s risk-reward profile stands out among midstream peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 06
Hess Midstream LP Just Beat EPS By 14%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Hess Midstream LP ( NYSE:HESM ) last week reported its latest second-quarter results, which makes it a good time for...
Narrative Update • Jun 23
HESM: Buybacks And Distributions Will Steady Returns As Growth Visibility Cools
Hess Midstream’s latest narrative update reflects a reset in the Street’s stance following a reduction in the analyst price target to $38. Analysts cited limited visibility into long term growth, concerns around sponsor strategy, and a more negatively skewed risk and reward profile.Narrative Update • Jun 06
HESM: Buybacks And Distributions Will Support Execution As Views Stay Mixed
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Hess Midstream by $4, reflecting recent revisions to growth, margin, discount rate and P/E assumptions in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hess Midstream has been mixed, with both upward and downward price target revisions over a short period, as well as a downgrade from one major firm.Narrative Update • May 14
HESM: Buybacks And Distributions Will Support Execution As Street Turns More Cautious
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Hess Midstream to about $36.83 from $37.50, citing recent revisions to discount rates, forward P/E assumptions, and updated views reflected in both price target changes and a downgrade in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Hess Midstream highlights a mix of supportive and cautious views, with price targets being adjusted in both directions over the past few months before the latest trim to about US$36.83.Analysis Article • May 07
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Hess Midstream LP's (NYSE:HESM) First-Quarter Report
Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Hess Midstream LP ( NYSE:HESM ), an important milestone in the...Narrative Update • Apr 25
HESM: Buybacks And Distributions Will Balance Mixed Views On Future Execution
Hess Midstream's analyst price target has shifted from $38.67 to $37.50 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E, following mixed recent research that included both a downgrade and a separate price target increase. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hess Midstream points in two directions, with one firm lifting its price target and Goldman Sachs moving to a more cautious stance.Narrative Update • Apr 10
HESM: Buybacks And Distributions Will Support Steady Forward Risk Reward Balance
Analysts have nudged their price target on Hess Midstream higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $38.00 to roughly $38.67. This revision is supported by modest adjustments to assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Mar 26
HESM: Buybacks And Rising Distributions Will Support Balanced Forward Returns
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Hess Midstream to $38.00 from $37.33, citing updated assumptions around profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News The Board of Directors of Hess Midstream LP authorized a buyback plan on March 3, 2026, indicating approval for the company to repurchase its own units over time (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 12
HESM: Buybacks And Growing Distributions Will Support Steady Forward Returns
Analysts have inched up their fair value estimate for Hess Midstream to about $37.33 per share from roughly $36.83 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News The Board of Directors of Hess Midstream LP authorized a buyback plan on March 3, 2026, signaling approval for the partnership to repurchase its own units over time (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 26
HESM: Updated 2026 Outlook And Distributions Will Support Steady Forward Returns
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Hess Midstream steady at $36.83, citing only very small refinements to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, rather than any broad change in their outlook. What's in the News Hess Midstream LP updated its 2026 earnings outlook, with expected full year net income in a range of US$650 million to US$700 million, alongside detailed operating targets for gas gathering, crude oil gathering, gas processing, crude terminal volumes, and water gathering volumes for the same period (company guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 08
HESM: Future Earnings And Distributions Will Reflect Updated 2026 Guidance And Stable Returns
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets for Hess Midstream, citing small updates to the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin expectations and future P/E. Together these refinements affect their view of the partnership's valuation rather than marking a major shift.Analysis Article • Feb 05
Results: Hess Midstream LP Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Last week saw the newest annual earnings release from Hess Midstream LP ( NYSE:HESM ), an important milestone in the...Analysis Article • Jan 30
Hess Midstream's (NYSE:HESM) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Hess Midstream LP's ( NYSE:HESM ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.7641 on...Narrative Update • Jan 25
HESM: Future Earnings And Distributions Will Reflect Stable Volumes And Capital Returns
Analysts have kept their price target on Hess Midstream broadly aligned with prior levels, reflecting updated assumptions around a discount rate of 7.14%, a revenue growth outlook of 1.06%, a profit margin of 30.68%, and a forward P/E of 14.01x, which they view as appropriately balancing risk and return expectations. What's in the News Issued full year 2026 earnings guidance, with expected net income between US$650 million and US$700 million, along with detailed volume expectations across gas gathering, crude oil gathering, gas processing, crude terminals and water gathering.Narrative Update • Jan 11
HESM: Future Volumes And Distributions Will Frame Steady Earnings And Capital Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on Hess Midstream slightly lower to US$36.83 from about US$36.86, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Issued unaudited earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, with expected net income of US$170 million to US$180 million, and full year 2025 net income of US$685 million to US$695 million (company guidance).Narrative Update • Dec 16
HESM: Bakken Rig Cuts Will Shape Future EBITDA And Capital Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Hess Midstream to about $37. This reflects reduced long term revenue growth expectations amid anticipated Chevron rig cuts in the Bakken and more modest, though still resilient, EBITDA and capital return trajectories.Narrative Update • Dec 01
HESM: Slower Bakken Activity And Dividends Will Define Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their average price target for Hess Midstream from $37 to approximately $36.86. This change reflects expectations of slower EBITDA growth and balanced risk in light of Chevron's anticipated reduction in Bakken activity and a revised capital return outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 17
HESM: Dividend Strength And Buybacks Will Offset Chevron Bakken Uncertainty
Analysts have lowered their price target for Hess Midstream to $37 from $41 per share. They cite slower growth expectations because of anticipated reductions in Chevron's Bakken rig activity and a more cautious outlook for future earnings.Analysis Article • Nov 06
Results: Hess Midstream LP Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Hess Midstream LP ( NYSE:HESM ) came out with its third-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the...Narrative Update • Nov 03
HESM: Dividend Growth And Buybacks Will Offset Bakken Development Uncertainty
Hess Midstream's analyst price target has been revised downward from $40 to $37 as analysts adjust expectations for slower revenue growth and profit margins. This is largely due to a tempered outlook for Bakken activity and more conservative future earnings assumptions.Narrative Update • Oct 20
US Energy Demand Will Sustain Bakken Throughput Into New Horizons
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Hess Midstream from $41.29 to $40.00, citing moderated growth forecasts and tempered capital return expectations in light of updated views on Bakken activity. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst assessments of Hess Midstream reflect a nuanced outlook, with both bullish and bearish perspectives factoring into the company's revised valuation and growth trajectory.Narrative Update • Oct 05
US Energy Demand Will Sustain Bakken Throughput Into New Horizons
Hess Midstream's analyst price target has been lowered by nearly $3, from approximately $44.17 to $41.29 per share, as analysts reset growth expectations in response to reduced rig activity in the Bakken and a less certain outlook following Chevron's acquisition of Hess Corp. Analyst Commentary Following the recent developments affecting Hess Midstream, analysts have delivered a mix of optimistic and cautious insights regarding the company’s future valuation, growth prospects, and capital allocation potential.Narrative Update • Sep 20
US Energy Demand Will Sustain Bakken Throughput Into New Horizons
Analysts have reduced their price target for Hess Midstream to $44.17, citing heightened uncertainty over future growth and capital returns due to Chevron’s rig reductions and less compelling standalone prospects post-acquisition. Analyst Commentary Chevron’s decision to reduce Bakken rigs is expected to significantly lower Hess Midstream's near-term EBITDA growth and capital return prospects.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Hess Midstream: Near Its Ceiling, But Solid Floor
Summary Hess Midstream LP offers a stable 7–8% dividend yield, supported by fixed fee-based contracts and a reliable main customer, Chevron. The company maintains a strong distribution coverage ratio and targets leverage around 3x EBITDA, reflecting a conservative financial posture. Despite reaching near fair value at $36.50, HESM remains attractive for its high dividend yield and consistent cash flow, but growth is limited. Key risks include heavy dependence on Chevron and limited expansion opportunities, justifying a HOLD rating for current investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 29
Hess Midstream Continues To Deliver Excellent Results In Q4
Summary Hess Midstream LP has shown strong performance, with shares up 21% over the past year and a near-7% dividend yield, reaching a 52-week-high. The company reported solid quarterly results, with revenue up 11% and EBITDA margins expanding to 81%, driven by increased production and throughput volumes. Guidance for 2025 and beyond is robust, with expected EBITDA growth, stable leverage, and potential for significant buybacks, supporting a bullish outlook. The potential Chevron acquisition of Hess could further boost HESM's value, with a likely deal premium for shareholders, enhancing the investment thesis. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 31
Hess Midstream Operations Are Great And Overshadowed By The Acquisition
Summary Hess reported unfavorable United States results and has for some time. Hess Midstream services the largest part of the United States business. Clearly, the profitability situation needs to be fixed. The uncertainty of the profitability enhancement moves affects the future prospects of the stock. Chevron, in particular, could shut down the operations, sell that part of the business, or increase the profitability itself. One insider clearly "wants out." Until that insider is gone, the stock is likely going nowhere. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 20
Hess Midstream: Insider Sales Continue
Summary Insider sales may cause a period of stock pricing weakness that could take months to resolve. The upsized offering of 11 million shares combined with recent sales history should indicate that a backer is exiting. The uncertainty surrounding Chevron's acquisition of Hess adds risk. Hess Midstream appears fully valued; dividend increases, and the accompanying appreciation, do not appear to compensate for the risk of an unfavorable outcome. Past Chevron actions may mitigate the risk of an unfavorable outcome in the eyes of some investors. But the future holds no guarantees. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 27
Expanding Bakken Operations And Shareholder Returns Promise Bright Future
Expansion in gas gathering, processing, and infrastructure development highlights growth in critical operational areas, aiming to enhance revenue through Bakken region support.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Hess Midstream makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 1,614 | 375 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,629 | 369 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 1,621 | 353 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,613 | 330 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,571 | 291 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 1,522 | 250 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,496 | 223 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 1,456 | 190 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 1,441 | 167 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 1,399 | 143 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 1,349 | 119 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 1,307 | 103 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 1,278 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 1,268 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 1,275 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 1,277 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 1,246 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 1,227 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,204 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 1,154 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 1,115 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,090 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,092 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,079 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,029 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 950 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 848 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 816 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 771 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 745 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 713 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 642 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 619 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 593 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 580 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 567 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 541 | 129 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 521 | 158 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 510 | 205 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 632 | 224 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 613 | 215 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 595 | 212 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 565 | 193 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 371 | 123 | 4 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: HESM has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: HESM's current net profit margins (23.2%) are higher than last year (18.5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: HESM's earnings have grown significantly by 44% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: HESM's earnings growth over the past year (28.9%) is below its 5-year average (44% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: HESM earnings growth over the past year (28.9%) exceeded the Oil and Gas industry 28.1%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: Whilst HESM's Return on Equity (173.94%) is outstanding, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/13 01:50 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Hess Midstream LP is covered by 13 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Douglas Irwin | Citigroup Inc |
| John Mackay | Goldman Sachs |
| Jeremy Tonet | J.P. Morgan |