Frontline Valuation

Is FRO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FRO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FRO ($14.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($42.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FRO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FRO?

Key metric: As FRO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FRO. This is calculated by dividing FRO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FRO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.8x
EarningsUS$547.22m
Market CapUS$3.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FRO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FRO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
CEQP Crestwood Equity Partners
21.8x20.8%US$3.0b
NFE New Fortress Energy
17x-23.4%US$3.3b
STNG Scorpio Tankers
3.2x-28.6%US$2.2b
INSW International Seaways
3.4x-13.2%US$1.8b
FRO Frontline
5.8x14.3%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FRO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
FRO 5.8xIndustry Avg. 11.2xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FRO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FRO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.8x
Fair PE Ratio12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FRO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FRO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.21
US$28.04
+97.3%
14.6%US$37.00US$24.00n/a7
Dec ’25US$16.18
US$28.04
+73.3%
14.6%US$37.00US$24.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$19.39
US$30.52
+57.4%
10.9%US$37.00US$26.50n/a6
Oct ’25US$23.28
US$32.12
+38.0%
8.0%US$37.00US$30.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$24.14
US$32.33
+33.9%
7.5%US$37.00US$30.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$24.19
US$32.49
+34.3%
7.3%US$37.00US$30.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$24.96
US$31.89
+27.8%
3.5%US$33.00US$30.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$28.32
US$31.89
+12.6%
3.5%US$33.00US$30.00n/a5
May ’25US$23.39
US$29.50
+26.1%
8.4%US$33.00US$26.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$23.93
US$27.97
+16.9%
10.6%US$32.00US$22.30n/a7
Mar ’25US$22.58
US$26.93
+19.3%
12.3%US$32.00US$22.30n/a7
Feb ’25US$22.04
US$26.66
+21.0%
11.9%US$32.00US$22.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$20.05
US$24.01
+19.7%
18.6%US$32.00US$17.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$20.11
US$23.54
+17.0%
19.4%US$32.00US$17.00US$16.187
Nov ’24US$22.73
US$21.32
-6.2%
9.9%US$24.00US$17.00US$19.397
Oct ’24US$18.78
US$20.26
+7.9%
12.0%US$23.40US$17.00US$23.287
Sep ’24US$17.48
US$20.37
+16.5%
11.8%US$23.40US$17.00US$24.147
Aug ’24US$16.70
US$19.38
+16.0%
12.3%US$22.00US$17.00US$24.194
Jul ’24US$14.53
US$19.38
+33.3%
12.3%US$22.00US$17.00US$24.964
Jun ’24US$14.56
US$17.63
+21.1%
19.6%US$22.00US$12.50US$28.324
May ’24US$15.59
US$19.13
+22.7%
21.4%US$23.00US$12.50US$23.394
Apr ’24US$16.56
US$19.13
+15.5%
21.4%US$23.00US$12.50US$23.934
Mar ’24US$18.52
US$18.50
-0.1%
23.0%US$23.00US$12.50US$22.584
Feb ’24US$14.48
US$17.00
+17.4%
19.8%US$22.00US$12.50US$22.044
Jan ’24US$12.14
US$15.88
+30.8%
15.2%US$19.00US$12.50US$20.054
Dec ’23US$13.69
US$15.38
+12.3%
12.0%US$17.00US$12.50US$20.114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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