BP Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

BP's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.7% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 24.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 35.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.6% in 3 years.

Key information

24.1%

Earnings growth rate

35.6%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.0%
Revenue growth rate-0.7%
Future return on equity15.6%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

The Gold Standard Oil And Gas Companies

Nov 25

BP Stock: Out Of The Doghouse (Rating Upgrade)

Nov 12

4 Things BP Can Do To Convince Investors They Are An Oil Company Again

Oct 31

BP: Finally We See A Catalyst

Oct 21

BP: 5.7% Dividend, Buybacks, And A Mid-Single Digit P/E Signal Value

Sep 30

BP: 15% Earnings Yield, 5% Dividend, Upside Potential

Sep 02

BP Stock: Underperforming The Sector For A Good Reason

Aug 23

BP: No Thanks, I'm Buying American

Jul 10

BP: After A Big Pullback, It's Time To Lock In A 5% Yield On This Oil Giant

Jun 17

BP: Mixed Q1 But Risk/Reward Remains Highly Attractive

Jun 11

BP Stock Can Run Once They Admit They Are An Oil Company

May 08

BP p.l.c.: The Dividend Growth Should Continue To Be Special

May 02

BP: Refueling The Cash Engine (Rating Upgrade)

Apr 09

BP: A Deep Dive Into US E&P Subsidiary Bpx

Mar 06

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:BP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027203,3879,18912,10626,5932
12/31/2026184,56411,02513,63127,5069
12/31/2025184,1979,99412,79126,9379
12/31/2024190,7724,27212,43426,2849
9/30/2024193,9292,72013,59629,247N/A
6/30/2024199,9297,37216,34931,233N/A
3/31/2024201,0799,29314,55229,426N/A
12/31/2023208,35115,23817,75432,039N/A
9/30/2023226,39125,67022,49936,233N/A
6/30/2023227,54018,64922,39135,774N/A
3/31/2023246,02226,11427,74840,344N/A
12/31/2022239,067-2,48828,86340,932N/A
9/30/2022220,870-10,96522,33233,477N/A
6/30/2022202,318-11,34720,47831,165N/A
3/31/2022171,248-17,48715,25725,713N/A
12/31/2021156,4317,56312,72523,612N/A
9/30/2021133,8756,5958,72819,765N/A
6/30/2021124,2278,6908,02618,993N/A
3/31/2021109,193-11,2755,76917,319N/A
12/31/2020105,672-20,306-14412,162N/A
9/30/2020149,126-21,6454,17617,496N/A
6/30/2020190,905-21,9443,65118,348N/A
3/31/2020242,072-3,2745,91421,426N/A
12/31/2019158,1094,02510,35225,770N/A
9/30/2019281,6444,7727,55224,996N/A
6/30/2019292,7108,8707,86725,032N/A
3/31/2019295,3139,8477,70724,523N/A
12/31/2018297,5339,3826,16622,873N/A
9/30/2018289,0348,6436,78021,947N/A
6/30/2018269,5867,063N/A21,879N/A
3/31/2018250,8424,408N/A20,463N/A
12/31/2017238,4333,388N/A18,931N/A
9/30/2017222,2593,858N/A15,456N/A
6/30/2017209,5253,709N/A11,940N/A
3/31/2017199,5452,146N/A10,933N/A
12/31/2016182,325114N/A10,691N/A
9/30/2016180,811-3,691N/A14,069N/A
6/30/2016189,890-5,265N/A16,744N/A
3/31/2016205,584-9,669N/A19,147N/A
12/31/2015222,243-6,484N/A19,133N/A
9/30/2015247,531-7,584N/A20,574N/A
6/30/2015285,521-6,340N/A24,790N/A
3/31/2015317,6002,852N/A26,381N/A
12/31/2014351,1953,778N/A32,754N/A
9/30/2014373,2889,227N/A30,921N/A
6/30/2014375,98511,441N/A27,854N/A
3/31/2014376,73910,114N/A25,364N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BP's forecast earnings growth (24.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: BP's earnings (24.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: BP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.6%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 16:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BP p.l.c. is covered by 80 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexandre AndlauerAlphaValue
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
John EadeArgus Research Company