Archrock Valuation

Is AROC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AROC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AROC ($23.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($56.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AROC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AROC?

Key metric: As AROC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AROC. This is calculated by dividing AROC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AROC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.3x
EarningsUS$143.41m
Market CapUS$4.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AROC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AROC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.3x
OII Oceaneering International
20.4xn/aUS$2.7b
KGS Kodiak Gas Services
145.8x73.8%US$3.2b
USAC USA Compression Partners
43.7x29.7%US$2.7b
WFRD Weatherford International
11.3x5.2%US$5.9b
AROC Archrock
29.3x29.7%US$4.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AROC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the peer average (55.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AROC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Energy Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NCSM NCS Multistage Holdings
1.4x-107.5%US$57.41m
BASX.Q Basic Energy Services
n/an/aUS$24.00
No more companies available in this PE range
AROC 29.3xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AROC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the US Energy Services industry average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AROC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AROC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AROC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AROC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$23.96
US$26.00
+8.5%
3.8%US$27.00US$24.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$19.92
US$24.38
+22.4%
3.5%US$26.00US$23.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$20.68
US$23.71
+14.7%
3.7%US$25.00US$22.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$20.23
US$23.50
+16.2%
4.8%US$25.00US$22.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$19.53
US$23.50
+20.3%
4.8%US$25.00US$22.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$20.23
US$22.00
+8.7%
3.2%US$23.00US$21.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$20.24
US$22.00
+8.7%
3.2%US$23.00US$21.00n/a4
May ’25US$19.50
US$21.75
+11.5%
3.8%US$23.00US$21.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$19.80
US$20.50
+3.5%
2.4%US$21.00US$20.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$18.36
US$20.25
+10.3%
2.1%US$21.00US$20.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$16.59
US$17.50
+5.5%
4.9%US$18.00US$16.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$15.40
US$17.25
+12.0%
4.8%US$18.00US$16.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$14.52
US$17.25
+18.8%
4.8%US$18.00US$16.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$13.18
US$16.00
+21.4%
6.3%US$17.00US$15.00US$19.924
Oct ’24US$12.60
US$15.75
+25.0%
8.2%US$17.00US$14.00US$20.684
Sep ’24US$12.94
US$15.75
+21.7%
8.2%US$17.00US$14.00US$20.234
Aug ’24US$12.77
US$14.75
+15.5%
10.0%US$17.00US$13.00US$19.534
Jul ’24US$10.25
US$13.50
+31.7%
6.4%US$15.00US$13.00US$20.234
Jun ’24US$9.34
US$13.50
+44.5%
6.4%US$15.00US$13.00US$20.244
May ’24US$10.41
US$13.50
+29.7%
6.4%US$15.00US$13.00US$19.504
Apr ’24US$9.77
US$13.50
+38.2%
6.4%US$15.00US$13.00US$19.804
Mar ’24US$11.10
US$13.67
+23.1%
6.9%US$15.00US$13.00US$18.363
Feb ’24US$9.93
US$10.67
+7.4%
8.8%US$12.00US$10.00US$16.593
Jan ’24US$8.98
US$10.67
+18.8%
8.8%US$12.00US$10.00US$15.403
Dec ’23US$8.73
US$11.00
+26.0%
9.1%US$12.00US$10.00US$14.522
Nov ’23US$7.60
US$10.50
+38.2%
4.8%US$11.00US$10.00US$13.182

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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