There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, the ROCE of Amplify Energy (NYSE:AMPY) looks great, so lets see what the trend can tell us.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Amplify Energy is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.29 = US$88m ÷ (US$458m - US$155m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Thus, Amplify Energy has an ROCE of 29%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Oil and Gas industry average of 21%.
View our latest analysis for Amplify Energy
In the above chart we have measured Amplify Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Amplify Energy.
How Are Returns Trending?
We're delighted to see that Amplify Energy is reaping rewards from its investments and has now broken into profitability. The company was generating losses five years ago, but now it's turned around, earning 29% which is no doubt a relief for some early shareholders. Additionally, the business is utilizing 66% less capital than it was five years ago, and taken at face value, that can mean the company needs less funds at work to get a return. The reduction could indicate that the company is selling some assets, and considering returns are up, they appear to be selling the right ones.
On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 34% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.
The Bottom Line
In a nutshell, we're pleased to see that Amplify Energy has been able to generate higher returns from less capital. And investors seem to expect more of this going forward, since the stock has rewarded shareholders with a 44% return over the last three years. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Amplify Energy can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Amplify Energy (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AMPY
Amplify Energy
Engages in the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.