Uranium Royalty Corp.

NasdaqCM:UROY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$321.0m

Uranium Royalty Valuation

Is UROY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UROY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UROY ($2.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UROY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UROY?

Key metric: As UROY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UROY. This is calculated by dividing UROY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UROY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.8x
EarningsCA$8.66m
Market CapCA$448.65m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UROY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UROY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
LEU Centrus Energy
18.8x-22.8%US$1.4b
NRP Natural Resource Partners
8.1xn/aUS$1.4b
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners
8.1x-7.2%US$3.6b
CEIX CONSOL Energy
9.4x-1.0%US$3.9b
UROY Uranium Royalty
51.8x31.4%US$448.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UROY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UROY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
UROY 51.8xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies18PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UROY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UROY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UROY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.8x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UROY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UROY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.62
US$5.37
+104.9%
10.3%US$5.92US$4.81n/a2
Nov ’25US$2.70
US$5.37
+98.8%
10.3%US$5.92US$4.81n/a2
Oct ’25US$2.55
US$5.37
+110.5%
10.3%US$5.92US$4.81n/a2
Sep ’25US$2.19
US$5.42
+147.4%
8.5%US$5.88US$4.96n/a2
Aug ’25US$2.21
US$5.42
+145.1%
8.5%US$5.88US$4.96n/a2
Jun ’25US$2.65
US$5.48
+106.8%
8.5%US$5.94US$5.02n/a2
May ’25US$2.34
US$5.48
+134.2%
8.5%US$5.94US$5.02n/a2
Apr ’25US$2.55
US$5.48
+114.9%
8.5%US$5.94US$5.02n/a2
Mar ’25US$2.65
US$5.48
+106.8%
8.5%US$5.94US$5.02n/a2
Feb ’25US$3.58
US$4.88
+36.4%
13.2%US$5.79US$4.34n/a3
Jan ’25US$2.70
US$4.88
+80.9%
13.2%US$5.79US$4.34n/a3
Dec ’24US$2.88
US$4.88
+69.6%
13.2%US$5.79US$4.34n/a3
Nov ’24US$2.77
US$4.88
+76.3%
13.2%US$5.79US$4.34US$2.703
Oct ’24US$2.87
US$4.62
+61.1%
3.3%US$4.81US$4.44US$2.553
Sep ’24US$2.52
US$4.54
+80.3%
3.8%US$4.79US$4.42US$2.193
Aug ’24US$2.19
US$4.54
+107.4%
3.8%US$4.79US$4.42US$2.213
Jul ’24US$2.00
US$4.54
+127.1%
3.8%US$4.79US$4.42US$2.273
Jun ’24US$2.12
US$4.54
+114.3%
3.8%US$4.79US$4.42US$2.653
May ’24US$1.87
US$4.61
+146.3%
3.8%US$4.85US$4.48US$2.343
Mar ’24US$2.42
US$4.38
+81.0%
0.8%US$4.42US$4.34US$2.652
Feb ’24US$2.90
US$4.38
+51.0%
0.8%US$4.42US$4.34US$3.582
Jan ’24US$2.37
US$4.38
+84.8%
0.8%US$4.42US$4.34US$2.702
Dec ’23US$2.78
US$4.38
+57.5%
0.8%US$4.42US$4.34US$2.882
Nov ’23US$2.21
US$4.48
+102.8%
2.9%US$4.61US$4.35US$2.772

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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