Patterson-UTI Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Patterson-UTI Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 95.4% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 91.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 2.9% in 3 years.
Key information
95.4%
Earnings growth rate
91.64%
EPS growth rate
| Energy Services earnings growth | 21.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.2% |
| Future return on equity | 2.90% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 07
PTEN: Higher P E Assumptions Will Likely Outpace Execution And Margin Risks
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Patterson-UTI Energy from about $7.10 to roughly $8.19, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple in recent price target increases and upgrades across several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Patterson-UTI Energy has centered on valuation reset, execution risks, and how much growth investors are willing to pay for.Narrative Update • Apr 20
PTEN: Elevated P E Assumptions Will Likely Outrun Softer Margin Outlook
The analyst price target for Patterson-UTI Energy has been raised by several dollars per share to reflect updated fair value estimates and a higher assumed future P/E, as analysts point to recent target increases across major firms and view current conditions as creating potential opportunities relative to fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Street research on Patterson-UTI Energy has recently centered on shifts in perceived fair value, with multiple firms updating price targets by a few dollars per share.Seeking Alpha • Apr 14
Patterson-UTI: A Return To Drilling Signals Buy
Summary Patterson-UTI (PTEN) offers compelling upside as upstream oilfield services near an inflection point, with rising demand and limited new equipment supply. PTEN combines drilling and completions, leverages advanced technology, and maintains strong margins and free cash flow despite recent sector headwinds. Capacity exists to quickly redeploy rigs as oil prices stabilize in the $70–$80s, with management committed to returning at least 50% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders. I see PTEN as a buy under $10, expecting multiple expansion and price targets in the mid-teens if bullish oil scenarios materialize. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 05
PTEN: Structural Drilling Needs And Geopolitical Dislocations Will Shape Future Cash Flows
Analysts have nudged the average price target on Patterson-UTI Energy higher, with recent increases such as Goldman's move to $9 from $7 and BofA's lift to $7.50 from $7. This reflects views that structural drilling activity and production needs remain intact despite geopolitical risks.Narrative Update • Mar 22
PTEN: Sector EBITDA Resets And Geopolitical Dislocations Will Shape Future Activity
Analysts have increased Patterson-UTI Energy's fair value estimate from $10.66 to $11.00, citing a series of higher price targets across the Street and the view that recent geopolitical risks could create dislocations that offer opportunities relative to the company's underlying fundamentals and longer term customer activity plans. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a cluster of bullish analysts lifting their price targets on Patterson-UTI Energy, with several moves coming within a short time frame.
Narrative Update • Mar 08
PTEN: Future Cash Returns Will Balance Structural Activity And Geopolitical Execution Risks
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Patterson-UTI Energy to about $8.84 from $7.88, pointing to updated fair value work, revised revenue and margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a series of recent target increases from major firms citing structural customer activity and limited long term impact from geopolitical risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Patterson-UTI Energy centers on how the stock lines up with sector fundamentals, the role of geopolitical risks, and expectations for customer activity in drilling and completion services.Narrative Update • Feb 22
PTEN: Sector EBITDA Revisions And Rig Deployment In Vaca Muerta Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their Patterson-UTI Energy price targets higher by about $2 overall, citing recalibrated fair value estimates, slightly lower discount rates, more balanced revenue and margin assumptions, and updated P/E expectations that align with recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have clustered around a broadly consistent message, with several raising their Patterson-UTI Energy price targets in tight succession.Narrative Update • Feb 07
PTEN: Future Cash Returns Will Reflect Mixed Sector Outlook And Execution Risks
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Patterson-UTI Energy moves to US$7.88 from about US$7.20, with analysts citing refined fair value estimates, adjusted discount rates, and revised assumptions for revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E multiples as they factor in recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Patterson-UTI Energy has centered on updated price targets and how current expectations for sector EBITDA line up with broader consensus over the next few years.Narrative Update • Jan 24
PTEN: Sector EBITDA Revisions Will Support Upside As Earnings Visibility Improves
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Patterson-UTI Energy by amounts such as $0.50 and $0.50 to $7.50, reflecting updated EBITDA expectations across the oilfield services group and adjusted assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent price target moves on Patterson-UTI Energy as part of a broader reassessment of the oilfield services group, with updated views on EBITDA forecasts and sector positioning driving their adjustments.Analysis Article • Jan 23
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTEN) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTEN ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period...Narrative Update • Jan 10
PTEN: Share Repurchases And Mixed Sector Outlook Will Shape Cash Returns
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Patterson-UTI Energy reflects a modest recalibration, with recent Street research split between a move up to US$9 and trims toward US$6. Analysts are factoring in slightly lower modeled fair value, a reduced discount rate, small adjustments to revenue growth assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple following Q3 results and guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 23
PTEN: Recent Earnings Strength Will Support Upside Despite Completions Headwinds
The analyst price target for Patterson-UTI Energy has been lifted from $8.00 to $9.00 per share, as analysts point to better than expected Q3 results, stronger than forecast Q4 guidance, and modestly improved growth expectations, despite lingering concerns about a still softening completions market and medium term performance risk. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a widening dispersion in views on Patterson-UTI Energy, with bullish analysts focusing on the upside from stronger near term execution and improving visibility into 2025, even as others remain cautious on the medium term completions backdrop.Narrative Update • Dec 09
PTEN: Share Repurchases And Near Term Execution Will Support Cash Returns
The analyst price target for Patterson-UTI Energy has been modestly raised to reflect a net upward adjustment of approximately $1, as analysts balance stronger than expected near term results and guidance against softer medium term sector dynamics and valuation normalization in onshore energy services. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Patterson-UTI Energy highlights a split view between near term execution upside and medium term uncertainties around activity levels and sector valuations.Narrative Update • Nov 25
PTEN: Share Repurchases Will Support Power Exposure Amid Sector Headwinds
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Patterson-UTI Energy, with estimates now ranging from $6 to $9 per share. This reflects mixed views based on recent earnings performance and evolving sector outlooks.Narrative Update • Nov 11
PTEN: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Drive Confidence Despite Completions Headwinds
Patterson-UTI Energy's analyst price target edged higher, rising by $0.07 to $7.23, as analysts modestly adjusted their forecasts in response to recent quarterly results and updated industry guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a mix of optimism and caution among analysts tracking Patterson-UTI Energy's outlook.Analysis Article • Oct 28
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTEN) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
It's been a pretty great week for Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTEN ) shareholders, with its shares surging 14...Narrative Update • Oct 28
Energy Services Shifts Will Shape Digital Drilling Outlook in Coming Quarters
The consensus analyst price target for Patterson-UTI Energy has shifted slightly lower. This reflects a range of updated outlooks as analysts weigh recent earnings, sector performance, and evolving market dynamics.Narrative Update • Oct 13
US LNG Exports Will Advance Digital Drilling
Patterson-UTI Energy's average analyst price target has moved lower, as analysts cite ongoing softness in the completions market, recent negative sector catalysts, and expectations for activity and pricing declines. This has resulted in target reductions such as $12 from $13 and $6 from $7.Analysis Article • Aug 05
Patterson-UTI Energy (NASDAQ:PTEN) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.08
The board of Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTEN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of...Analysis Article • May 30
Patterson-UTI Energy's (NASDAQ:PTEN) Dividend Will Be $0.08
The board of Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PTEN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.08 per share on...Seeking Alpha • Feb 13
Patterson-UTI: High Torque To Increased Natural Gas Activity
Summary US drilling and completion activity looks to be stable in the near term. In the medium term, additional natural gas focused activity in the Haynesville shale represents a powerful driver for improved margins. LNG exports are expected to ramp by year-end 2025, which should be a catalyst to warrant renewed natural gas related activity. Patterson-UTI's 2024 earnings were significantly altered by one-time impairments. Excluding these impairments would have resulted in positive earnings for the year. PTEN remains capable of generating 15% free cash flow yields despite the challenging market conditions. I rate the company as a BUY. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 20
Patterson-UTI: Cheap Despite Leading Yield And Buyback And Power Segment Potential
Summary Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. underperformed its peer group in 2024. Rigs and pressure pumping are expected to see modest recoveries in 2025, helping to generate significant free cash flow. The dividend yield is already the best in the peer group, and we expect the large buyback to continue next year. A power services angle to the story remains underappreciated. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 05
Why I'm Downranking Patterson-UTI To Hold
Summary Oilfield service company Patterson-UTI’s market capitalization is $3.2 billion, and it pays a 3.9% dividend. It took a nearly $1 billion asset write-down in 3Q24. Although the new administration plans to encourage energy production, multi-billion-dollar upstream mergers involving most large public and private companies may condense drilling budgets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 28
Patterson-UTI: Prioritizing Free Cash Flow And Shareholder Returns
Summary The Q3 commentary suggested a delay in the rebound of U.S. oilfield activity. However, PTEN is actively managing capex and is able to turn out ample cash flow even at the current activity levels. The cash flow funds buybacks and dividends; PTEN basically pays investors to wait until the next catalyst, which will likely be a tightening of the U.S. natural gas market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 03
Innovative Contracts And Diversification Spark Revenue Growth And Shareholder Value
Commitment to capital-efficient operations and shareholder value enhancement through strategic financial management, including share repurchases and debt reduction.Seeking Alpha • Aug 09
Patterson-UTI: If We Don't Get Recession Soon, Oil/Gas Could Soar
Summary Commodity cycles require downturns to cool demand and rebalance supply. Without them, spikes in crude oil and natural gas prices may become the norm. Patterson-UTI's valuation is now about the same as past recession lows during 2020, 2009, and 2001. Any unexpected upturn in oil/gas prices should lead to sizable investor gains in PTEN. Various technical momentum indicators have been reversing higher since May, which could be a good omen price will soon follow. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,938 | 197 | 458 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,779 | 18 | 370 | 845 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,538 | -68 | 280 | 754 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 4,663 | -119 | 273 | 817 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,827 | -94 | 372 | 961 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,838 | -136 | 289 | 880 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,019 | -1,078 | 333 | 960 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,148 | -1,018 | 405 | 1,018 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,378 | -968 | 497 | 1,176 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,800 | -854 | 569 | 1,312 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,454 | 124 | 449 | 1,172 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,865 | 198 | 412 | 1,137 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,146 | 246 | 390 | 1,006 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,351 | 284 | 327 | 856 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,067 | 346 | 383 | 878 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,930 | 283 | 307 | 767 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,648 | 155 | 129 | 566 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,326 | -310 | -86 | 307 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,956 | -454 | -165 | 136 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,626 | -579 | -122 | 121 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,357 | -657 | -71 | 95 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,111 | -399 | -54 | 47 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 961 | -428 | 23 | 104 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 919 | -475 | 122 | 214 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,124 | -804 | 133 | 279 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,396 | -783 | 196 | 396 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,787 | -933 | 296 | 550 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,212 | -832 | 285 | 586 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,471 | -426 | N/A | 696 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,774 | -541 | N/A | 826 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,043 | -354 | N/A | 796 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,222 | -316 | N/A | 765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,327 | -321 | N/A | 731 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,318 | 75 | N/A | 658 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,136 | 116 | N/A | 586 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,861 | 35 | N/A | 445 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,357 | 6 | N/A | 301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,816 | -268 | N/A | 184 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,337 | -318 | N/A | 138 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 952 | -312 | N/A | 197 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 916 | -319 | N/A | 305 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,008 | -299 | N/A | 446 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,224 | -438 | N/A | 541 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,503 | -370 | N/A | 708 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,891 | -291 | N/A | 999 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,454 | -176 | N/A | 968 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,877 | 63 | N/A | 1,009 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PTEN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: PTEN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: PTEN is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: PTEN's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PTEN's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PTEN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (2.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/20 11:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. is covered by 44 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| James West | Barclays |
| Sungeun Kim | Barclays |
| Nicholas Green | Bernstein |