Plains GP Holdings, L.P.

NasdaqGS:PAGP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

Plains GP Holdings Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 3/6

Plains GP Holdings's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -36%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 8.4% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.1% per year. Plains GP Holdings's return on equity is 9.1%, and it has net margins of 0.1%.

Key information

-35.96%

Earnings growth rate

-35.91%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas Industry Growth33.67%
Revenue growth rate4.14%
Return on equity9.12%
Net Margin0.11%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 02

PAGP: Higher Oil Price Volatility Will Challenge Cash Flow Support For Distributions

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Plains GP Holdings now sits around $18.81, up from $17.00. This change reflects analysts' higher cash flow estimates and recent target increases from several firms citing potential benefits from higher crude prices and a volatile commodity backdrop.
Narrative Update Apr 21

PAGP: Updated Cash Flow Outlook And Diverging Ratings Will Shape Future Risk Reward

Narrative Update: Plains GP Holdings The analyst price target for Plains GP Holdings has shifted higher, with fair value moving by about $0.50 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, while incorporating a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Plains GP Holdings shows a mix of upbeat and cautious views, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after fresh estimates and recent share performance.
Narrative Update Apr 06

PAGP: Updated Cash Flow Assumptions And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Future Risk Reward

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Plains GP Holdings has moved higher by about $1.23 to reflect updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analysts point to a recent wave of fresh and higher targets, new coverage and estimate updates following Q4 results as key supports for this change.
Narrative Update Mar 23

PAGP: Future Distribution Increase Will Be Challenged By Oil Price Volatility

The analyst price target for Plains GP Holdings has increased by several dollars to around the mid $20s, as analysts update their views following recent Q4 results and factor in revisions to key assumptions such as profitability, discount rate and expected valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Plains GP Holdings shows a mix of price target increases and more cautious views, with some firms revisiting their stance after recent share price strength and Q4 results.
Narrative Update Mar 08

PAGP: Future Distribution Hike Will Be Offset By Oil Price And Margin Risks

Analysts have raised their average price target on Plains GP Holdings by a few dollars to the mid-$20 range, citing updated post-Q4 estimates, higher oil price assumptions, and slightly stronger long-term margin and P/E expectations as the main factors behind the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Plains GP Holdings shows a mix of optimism around the raised price targets and some pushback from bearish analysts who see more limited upside after the stock's recent performance.
Narrative Update Feb 22

PAGP: Future Distribution Hike Will Be Undermined By Compressed P/E Assumptions

The analyst price target for Plains GP Holdings has been adjusted from $16.50 to $17.00 as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following a series of recent target changes and rating moves across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Plains GP Holdings shows a split view, with some banks lifting price targets and others turning more cautious after a period of share price strength.
Narrative Update Feb 07

PAGP: Distribution Increases And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Future Risk Reward

Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Plains GP Holdings slightly, with the updated blended fair value estimate easing from about $20.88 to roughly $20.85. This reflects mixed views as some firms cite recent outperformance, while others point to improved growth assumptions and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Jan 23

PAGP: Future Earnings Multiple And Distribution Policy Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Narrative Update Analysts lifted their price target for Plains GP Holdings by US$1, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue, profit margin and future P/E that together slightly adjust how they see the company’s risk and earnings power. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models after the latest review are focusing on how changes to fair value, discount rate, revenue outlook, profit margin and future P/E assumptions flow through to what they see as a reasonable trading range for Plains GP Holdings.
Narrative Update Jan 08

PAGP: Future Distribution Increase Will Be Outweighed By Rich Earnings Multiple

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Plains GP Holdings from US$17.50 to US$16.50, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which together indicate a more balanced risk and return profile. What's in the News Plains GP Holdings, L.P. declared a quarterly distribution of US$0.4175 per Class A share, which equals US$1.67 on an annualized basis with respect to the fourth quarter of 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Dec 15

PAGP: Future Earnings Multiple Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Plains GP Holdings, trimming their fair value estimate by approximately 0.19 dollars per share. This adjustment reflects a balance between improved revenue growth expectations and a higher future P E multiple, set against modestly softer profit margin assumptions and a reduced discount rate.
Narrative Update Dec 01

PAGP: Future Earnings Strength Will Drive Share Price Higher

Plains GP Holdings has received a slight upward revision in its analyst price target, rising from $20.62 to $20.85. Analysts are factoring in stronger profit margins and a lower projected price-to-earnings ratio, even as revenue growth expectations remain more modest.
Narrative Update Nov 17

PAGP: Potential Fed Rate Cut May Drive Upcoming Midstream Recovery

Analysts have reduced their price target for Plains GP Holdings by $2, lowering it from $22 to $20. They cite ongoing commodity market uncertainty but note that a potential Federal Reserve rate cut could provide support for midstream stocks.
Narrative Update Nov 03

PAGP: Prospective Rate Cut Will Drive Increased Optimism For Midstream Equities

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Plains GP Holdings from $22 to $20, reflecting updated assessments of market uncertainty and trends in the infrastructure sector. Analyst Commentary Recent adjustments to the price target reflect varying opinions among analysts about Plains GP Holdings' near-term outlook and strategic positioning within the midstream and renewable infrastructure sectors.
Narrative Update Oct 20

NGL Divestitures And Permian Focus Will Foster Future Resilience

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Plains GP Holdings from $22 to $20 per share. They cite ongoing uncertainty in commodity markets and revised rate cut expectations as key factors in their updated outlook.
Narrative Update Oct 05

NGL Divestitures And Permian Focus Will Foster Future Resilience

Analysts have reduced their price target for Plains GP Holdings to $21.00 from $21.46, citing updated views on sector dynamics and expectations for more moderate revenue growth in light of continued market uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst perspectives on Plains GP Holdings reflect a balanced outlook, with both positive developments and ongoing concerns shaping their revised price targets and overall sentiment on the company's prospects.
Seeking Alpha Sep 27

Plains GP: Business Expansion A Path To Increased Profits

Summary Plains GP Holdings is rated a 'buy' due to its strategic shift toward oil and divestiture of its loss-making gas business. PAGP's $3.75B gas business sale and acquisitions like EPIC Crude Holdings are expected to boost oil delivery capacity and financial flexibility. DCF modeling projects a fair value of $37.97 per share by 2030, implying an average annual growth of 20% from current levels. Despite short-term oil price volatility risks, PAGP's simplified business model and market recovery outlook support a $22.76 one-year target price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Plains GP Holdings Is A Buy With Its Massive FCF

Summary Plains GP Holdings offers exposure to Plains All American with a simpler tax structure, boasting a vast network of pipelines and storage facilities. Despite market volatility, PAGP's fee-based midstream operations ensure stable cash flows, with strong FCF and a growing dividend yield of 7.04%. The company’s valuation metrics are attractive, with a P/CF of 1.51 and a P/E of 12.18, highlighting its massive FCF generation. Risks include dependency on WTI prices, tariffs, and potential operational disruptions, but PAGP's steady operations and high cash flows make it a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 10

Plains GP Holdings: Income Stock With Significant Price Appreciation Potential

Summary Plains GP Holdings has diversified midstream operations, primarily in crude oil, with 90% of revenue from investment-grade companies and 75% from fees. The company maintains financial stability with low leverage, strategic acquisitions, and a disciplined capital allocation policy focused on increasing dividends and growth capex. Risks include potential oil spills and financial pressure from extensive acquisitions, but management's prudent approach mitigates these concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Sep 02

Bolstering Earnings Through Critical Acquisitions And Operational Efficiency In Oil And Gas Industry

Strategic acquisitions and operational momentum signal positive future earnings growth, suggesting the stock is undervalued.
Seeking Alpha Apr 30

Plains GP Holdings' Reinvigorated 1099 Distribution Is Backed By Ample Cash Flow

Summary Returning capital to unitholders is Plains GP Holdings' priority. Recent distribution increases and buybacks validate this prerogative. Hovering around 6%, PAGP's distribution is backed by ample cash flow. PAGP's 1099 distribution has consistently been in the form of ROC, enabling tax deferral if held in a taxable account. The Permian Basin's resources should reward PAGP's past investment to solidify and expand its pipeline and terminal system. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Plains GP Holdings makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGS:PAGP Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 2645,255523360
31 Dec 2544,262-1233390
30 Sep 2545,732-1713370
30 Jun 2546,610-2593400
31 Mar 2548,727-2123380
31 Dec 2448,889-1283340
30 Sep 2449,552103390
30 Jun 2449,1671203460
31 Mar 2448,0101613510
31 Dec 2347,33663050
30 Sep 2348,9661903510
30 Jun 2351,2322323410
31 Mar 2355,9892153340
31 Dec 2257,3421683300
30 Sep 2257,3792083360
30 Jun 2253,8181123190
31 Mar 2247,389123130
31 Dec 2142,078602980
30 Sep 2135,052-442790
30 Jun 2130,109-22740
31 Mar 2123,404832740
31 Dec 2023,290-5682760
30 Sep 2026,481-5002790
30 Jun 2028,535-4472920
31 Mar 2033,563-3972950
31 Dec 1933,6693313020
30 Sep 1933,3014633140
30 Jun 1934,2055033130
31 Mar 1934,0324443170
31 Dec 1834,0553343200
30 Sep 1832,874-6463020
30 Jun 1829,956-7522960
31 Mar 1827,954-7352790
31 Dec 1726,223-7312740
30 Sep 1724,569612770
30 Jun 1723,867812800
31 Mar 1722,738992890
31 Dec 1620,182942820
30 Sep 1619,2271272740
30 Jun 1619,6071352630
31 Mar 1621,3211232700
31 Dec 1523,1521182810
30 Sep 1527,6151182900
30 Jun 1533,1911023090

Quality Earnings: PAGP has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: PAGP became profitable in the past.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: PAGP has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -36% per year.

Accelerating Growth: PAGP has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: PAGP has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Oil and Gas industry (6%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: PAGP's Return on Equity (9.1%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 02:27
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Plains GP Holdings, L.P. is covered by 31 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ethan BellamyBaird
Richard GrossBarclays
Theresa ChenBarclays