Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, New Fortress Energy (NASDAQ:NFE) Presents An Opportunity

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NasdaqGS:NFE

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in New Fortress Energy (NASDAQ:NFE). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

Check out our latest analysis for New Fortress Energy

New Fortress Energy's Improving Profits

Over the last three years, New Fortress Energy has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. New Fortress Energy's EPS shot up from US$1.34 to US$1.93; a result that's bound to keep shareholders happy. That's a fantastic gain of 43%.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. We note that while EBIT margins have improved from 31% to 40%, the company has actually reported a fall in revenue by 11%. That's not a good look.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

NasdaqGS:NFE Earnings and Revenue History January 3rd 2024

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of New Fortress Energy's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are New Fortress Energy Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

It's good to see New Fortress Energy insiders walking the walk, by spending US$294k on shares in just twelve months. When you contrast that with the complete lack of sales, it's easy for shareholders to be brimming with joyful expectancy. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Independent Director Timothy Jay for US$169k worth of shares, at about US$28.62 per share.

And the insider buying isn't the only sign of alignment between shareholders and the board, since New Fortress Energy insiders own more than a third of the company. In fact, they own 49% of the shares, making insiders a very influential shareholder group. Shareholders and speculators should be reassured by this kind of alignment, as it suggests the business will be run for the benefit of shareholders. At the current share price, that insider holding is worth a staggering US$3.8b. That means they have plenty of their own capital riding on the performance of the business!

Is New Fortress Energy Worth Keeping An Eye On?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into New Fortress Energy's strong EPS growth. On top of that, insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. Astute investors will want to keep this stock on watch. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for New Fortress Energy you should be aware of.

The good news is that New Fortress Energy is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of growth-focused companies in the US with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Fortress Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.