Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At NCS Multistage Holdings (NASDAQ:NCSM) Paint A Concerning Picture

NasdaqCM:NCSM
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If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. Having said that, after a brief look, NCS Multistage Holdings (NASDAQ:NCSM) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for NCS Multistage Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0099 = US$1.2m ÷ (US$141m - US$18m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, NCS Multistage Holdings has an ROCE of 1.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Energy Services industry average of 9.8%.

See our latest analysis for NCS Multistage Holdings

roce
NasdaqCM:NCSM Return on Capital Employed July 13th 2023

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating NCS Multistage Holdings' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

The trend of ROCE at NCS Multistage Holdings is showing some signs of weakness. Unfortunately, returns have declined substantially over the last five years to the 1.0% we see today. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 71% over that same period. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.

In Conclusion...

To see NCS Multistage Holdings reducing the capital employed in the business in tandem with diminishing returns, is concerning. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 93% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.

Like most companies, NCS Multistage Holdings does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While NCS Multistage Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NCS Multistage Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.