TP ICAP Group Valuation

Is TCAP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCAP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCAP.F ($2.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCAP.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCAP.F?

Key metric: As TCAP.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TCAP.F. This is calculated by dividing TCAP.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TCAP.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.8x
EarningsUK£99.00m
Market CapUK£1.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TCAP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TCAP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
SNEX StoneX Group
12.5x-0.7%US$3.3b
MRX Marex Group
11.4x13.5%US$2.2b
BGC BGC Group
39.8xn/aUS$4.9b
TIGR UP Fintech Holding
33.6x28.5%US$1.0b
TCAP.F TP ICAP Group
19.8x21.5%US$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TCAP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TCAP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.6xn/aUS$2.50b
CET Central Securities
4.5xn/aUS$1.32b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.1xn/aUS$1.16b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
TCAP.F 19.8xIndustry Avg. 24.3xNo. of Companies74PE020406080100+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TCAP.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCAP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCAP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TCAP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TCAP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$3.66
0%
9.9%US$4.11US$2.96n/a6
Nov ’25US$2.60
US$3.75
+44.4%
9.5%US$4.27US$3.08n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
US$3.75
0%
9.5%US$4.27US$3.08n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.75
0%
10.5%US$4.28US$2.98n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.59
0%
9.6%US$4.20US$2.92n/a7
Jul ’25n/a
US$3.54
0%
9.4%US$4.16US$2.87n/a8
Jun ’25US$2.55
US$3.51
+37.8%
9.3%US$4.13US$2.87n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$3.34
0%
7.0%US$3.61US$2.81n/a8
Apr ’25n/a
US$3.26
0%
7.8%US$3.53US$2.85n/a8
Mar ’25n/a
US$2.91
0%
10.0%US$3.25US$2.51n/a7
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.98
0%
10.7%US$3.30US$2.53n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$2.98
0%
10.7%US$3.30US$2.53n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
US$2.91
0%
10.4%US$3.24US$2.49n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
US$2.87
0%
9.8%US$3.16US$2.43US$2.606
Oct ’24n/a
US$3.01
0%
9.8%US$3.31US$2.55n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
US$3.01
0%
9.8%US$3.31US$2.55n/a6
Aug ’24US$2.07
US$3.03
+46.5%
9.8%US$3.34US$2.57n/a6
Jul ’24US$1.89
US$2.89
+52.7%
8.8%US$3.19US$2.45n/a6
Jun ’24n/a
US$2.89
0%
8.8%US$3.19US$2.45US$2.556
May ’24US$2.24
US$2.89
+28.8%
8.8%US$3.19US$2.45n/a6
Apr ’24n/a
US$2.89
0%
8.8%US$3.19US$2.45n/a6
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.60
0%
11.5%US$2.94US$2.07n/a6
Feb ’24n/a
US$2.60
0%
11.5%US$2.94US$2.07n/a6
Jan ’24n/a
US$2.60
0%
11.5%US$2.94US$2.07n/a6
Dec ’23US$2.09
US$2.60
+24.1%
11.5%US$2.94US$2.07n/a6
Nov ’23n/a
US$2.60
0%
11.5%US$2.94US$2.07n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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