HMC Capital Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of HMCL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HMCL.F ($6.66) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] ($4.7)

Is HMCL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HMCL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HMCL.F ($6.66) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($4.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HMCL.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HMCL.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for HMCL.F. This is calculated by dividing HMCL.F's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is HMCL.F's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	AU$4.19b

HMCL.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	47.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	131.4x
PEG Ratio	3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HMCL.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HMCL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	15.6x
DBRG DigitalBridge Group	13.2x	-25.8%	US$2.5b
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management	13.4x	6.9%	US$3.6b
GCMG GCM Grosvenor	31.9x	18.9%	US$2.2b
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund	3.9x	n/a	US$2.4b
HMCL.F HMC Capital	63.5x	20.2%	US$4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HMCL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.5x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HMCL.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	14.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	14.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HMCL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.5x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (23.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HMCL.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HMCL.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	63.5x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HMCL.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HMCL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	US$6.66	US$5.59 -16.0%	5.8%	US$5.99	US$5.10	n/a	10
Oct ’25	n/a	US$5.31 0%	9.3%	US$6.12	US$4.31	n/a	9
Sep ’25	n/a	US$5.29 0%	9.3%	US$6.10	US$4.30	n/a	9
Aug ’25	n/a	US$4.77 0%	10.2%	US$5.48	US$3.92	n/a	9
Jul ’25	n/a	US$4.77 0%	9.1%	US$5.32	US$3.99	n/a	9
Jun ’25	n/a	US$4.65 0%	8.7%	US$5.30	US$3.98	n/a	8
May ’25	n/a	US$4.35 0%	11.9%	US$5.18	US$3.38	n/a	10
Apr ’25	n/a	US$4.41 0%	11.9%	US$5.27	US$3.44	n/a	10
Mar ’25	n/a	US$4.41 0%	11.9%	US$5.27	US$3.44	n/a	10
Feb ’25	n/a	US$3.65 0%	9.7%	US$4.17	US$2.98	n/a	10
Jan ’25	n/a	US$3.63 0%	10.2%	US$4.09	US$2.96	n/a	10
Dec ’24	n/a	US$3.43 0%	10.1%	US$3.86	US$2.80	n/a	10
Nov ’24	n/a	US$3.36 0%	10.6%	US$3.80	US$2.75	US$6.66	9
Oct ’24	n/a	US$3.47 0%	9.8%	US$3.86	US$2.92	n/a	9
Sep ’24	n/a	US$3.44 0%	10.7%	US$3.89	US$2.92	n/a	10
Aug ’24	n/a	US$3.30 0%	11.1%	US$3.90	US$2.56	n/a	10
Jul ’24	n/a	US$3.28 0%	10.8%	US$3.74	US$2.54	n/a	10
Jun ’24	n/a	US$3.28 0%	10.2%	US$3.80	US$2.58	n/a	10
May ’24	n/a	US$3.23 0%	10.8%	US$3.71	US$2.52	n/a	10
Apr ’24	n/a	US$3.26 0%	12.4%	US$3.86	US$2.55	n/a	9
Mar ’24	n/a	US$3.38 0%	13.7%	US$3.90	US$2.19	n/a	10
Feb ’24	n/a	US$3.73 0%	14.2%	US$4.15	US$2.32	n/a	10
Jan ’24	n/a	US$3.68 0%	15.2%	US$4.26	US$2.24	n/a	11
Dec ’23	n/a	US$3.71 0%	16.6%	US$4.51	US$2.22	n/a	11
Nov ’23	n/a	US$3.93 0%	11.5%	US$4.55	US$2.91	n/a	11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.