HICL Infrastructure PLC

OTCPK:HICL.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

HICL Infrastructure Valuation

Is HICL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HICL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HICL.F ($1.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HICL.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HICL.F?

Key metric: As HICL.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HICL.F. This is calculated by dividing HICL.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HICL.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.3x
EarningsUK£103.10m
Market CapUK£2.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HICL.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HICL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.7x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management
14.4x6.9%US$3.3b
DBRG DigitalBridge Group
12.7x-23.4%US$2.1b
GCMG GCM Grosvenor
38.7x26.9%US$553.6m
BRDG Bridge Investment Group Holdings
117x51.4%US$410.9m
HICL.F HICL Infrastructure
23.3xn/aUS$2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HICL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the peer average (45.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HICL.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.6xn/aUS$2.28b
CET Central Securities
4.6xn/aUS$1.32b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.2xn/aUS$1.17b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
HICL.F 23.3xIndustry Avg. 23.2xNo. of Companies73PE020406080100+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HICL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (23.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HICL.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HICL.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HICL.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HICL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.50
US$1.96
+31.0%
4.2%US$2.02US$1.85n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$2.09
0%
5.1%US$2.19US$1.94n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$2.09
0%
5.1%US$2.19US$1.94n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$1.99
0%
5.2%US$2.12US$1.88n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
US$1.99
0%
5.2%US$2.12US$1.88n/a4
Jul ’25US$1.56
US$1.93
+23.8%
6.1%US$2.09US$1.78n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$1.94
0%
5.9%US$2.10US$1.78n/a5
May ’25US$1.57
US$1.98
+26.1%
7.8%US$2.24US$1.79n/a5
Apr ’25US$1.64
US$1.98
+20.7%
7.8%US$2.24US$1.79n/a5
Mar ’25US$1.55
US$1.94
+25.4%
8.6%US$2.21US$1.77n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
US$1.94
0%
7.8%US$2.20US$1.76n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
US$1.94
0%
7.8%US$2.20US$1.76n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
US$1.97
0%
8.1%US$2.19US$1.75n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
US$1.95
0%
8.8%US$2.19US$1.70n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
US$2.11
0%
5.4%US$2.27US$2.02n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
US$2.11
0%
5.4%US$2.27US$2.02n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
US$2.11
0%
5.4%US$2.27US$2.02n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
US$2.11
0%
5.4%US$2.27US$2.02US$1.563
Jun ’24n/a
US$2.15
0%
3.4%US$2.22US$2.06n/a4
May ’24n/a
US$2.20
0%
5.2%US$2.37US$2.07US$1.574
Apr ’24n/a
US$2.23
0%
8.3%US$2.53US$2.05US$1.644
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.20
0%
8.3%US$2.50US$2.03US$1.554
Feb ’24n/a
US$2.20
0%
8.3%US$2.50US$2.03n/a4
Jan ’24n/a
US$2.20
0%
8.3%US$2.50US$2.03n/a4
Dec ’23n/a
US$2.12
0%
5.9%US$2.30US$2.01n/a3
Nov ’23n/a
US$1.89
0%
0.7%US$1.91US$1.88n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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