Adyen Valuation

Is ADYY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADYY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADYY.F ($1267) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($909.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADYY.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADYY.F?

Key metric: As ADYY.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADYY.F. This is calculated by dividing ADYY.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADYY.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.2x
Earnings€825.76m
Market Cap€38.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADYY.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADYY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.8x
SQ Block
49.6x27.6%US$51.7b
GPN Global Payments
21.6x10.9%US$29.6b
CPAY Corpay
25x15.5%US$25.8b
FIS Fidelity National Information Services
86.9x25.5%US$47.6b
ADYY.F Adyen
47.2x19.8%US$38.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADYY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the peer average (45.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADYY.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FOA Finance of America Companies
1.4x-139.5%US$474.10m
PMIR PMI Group
1.2xn/aUS$6.80m
ACGX Alliance Creative Group
1.9xn/aUS$491.32k
No more companies available in this PE range
ADYY.F 47.2xIndustry Avg. 18.8xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADYY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADYY.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADYY.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.2x
Fair PE Ratio25.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADYY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADYY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1,267.00
US$1,727.48
+36.3%
11.8%US$2,210.76US$1,121.17n/a29
Nov ’25US$1,518.00
US$1,764.68
+16.3%
11.4%US$2,109.25US$1,151.97n/a29
Oct ’25US$1,501.00
US$1,781.95
+18.7%
11.4%US$2,162.10US$1,180.84n/a28
Sep ’25US$1,493.00
US$1,769.68
+18.5%
11.5%US$2,161.62US$1,180.58n/a28
Aug ’25US$1,188.96
US$1,730.96
+45.6%
11.0%US$2,054.05US$1,151.35n/a29
Jul ’25US$1,170.00
US$1,755.35
+50.0%
9.6%US$2,040.16US$1,395.90n/a29
Jun ’25US$1,266.01
US$1,746.75
+38.0%
11.4%US$2,049.62US$1,294.50n/a30
May ’25US$1,206.00
US$1,738.73
+44.2%
11.7%US$2,138.35US$1,283.01n/a30
Apr ’25US$1,730.00
US$1,733.83
+0.2%
12.3%US$2,148.23US$1,288.94n/a31
Mar ’25US$1,586.00
US$1,673.40
+5.5%
13.1%US$2,161.69US$1,297.02n/a31
Feb ’25US$1,306.00
US$1,369.00
+4.8%
17.2%US$1,797.90US$790.64n/a30
Jan ’25US$1,288.00
US$1,184.90
-8.0%
22.4%US$1,786.87US$785.79n/a30
Dec ’24US$1,155.00
US$1,150.42
-0.4%
23.7%US$1,821.37US$762.56n/a29
Nov ’24US$673.59
US$1,043.42
+54.9%
26.5%US$1,754.20US$686.89US$1,518.0029
Oct ’24US$748.22
US$1,102.28
+47.3%
24.4%US$1,754.94US$761.18US$1,501.0025
Sep ’24US$848.11
US$1,209.21
+42.6%
23.8%US$2,046.75US$807.93US$1,493.0026
Aug ’24US$1,805.82
US$1,850.20
+2.5%
16.0%US$2,386.19US$1,154.61US$1,188.9625
Jul ’24US$1,756.00
US$1,840.80
+4.8%
15.9%US$2,367.41US$1,145.79US$1,170.0025
Jun ’24US$1,653.00
US$1,758.01
+6.4%
18.0%US$2,325.03US$961.31US$1,266.0127
May ’24US$1,571.00
US$1,784.74
+13.6%
17.4%US$2,314.05US$988.43US$1,206.0025
Apr ’24US$1,594.69
US$1,747.83
+9.6%
17.8%US$2,277.90US$972.99US$1,730.0025
Mar ’24US$1,395.12
US$1,729.31
+24.0%
18.4%US$2,465.96US$961.72US$1,586.0026
Feb ’24US$1,621.41
US$1,935.87
+19.4%
20.2%US$2,801.27US$985.39US$1,306.0027
Jan ’24US$1,375.00
US$2,010.17
+46.2%
19.4%US$2,704.71US$951.42US$1,288.0027
Dec ’23US$1,552.00
US$1,957.71
+26.1%
20.6%US$2,632.94US$926.17US$1,155.0026
Nov ’23US$1,441.50
US$1,895.06
+31.5%
21.0%US$2,540.85US$893.78US$673.5925

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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