TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.

NYSE:TPVG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$253.9m

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Valuation

Is TPVG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPVG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$15.70
Fair Value
62.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TPVG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TPVG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPVG?

Key metric: As TPVG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TPVG. This is calculated by dividing TPVG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TPVG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
EarningsUS$36.76m
Market CapUS$253.87m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TPVG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

Insufficient data to calculate this valuation analysis check
The above table shows the PE ratio for TPVG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Averagen/a
TPVG TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC
6.8x2.6%US$253.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate TPVG's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TPVG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
4.1xn/aUS$2.28b
CET Central Securities
4.6xn/aUS$1.30b
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
2.6xn/aUS$567.14m
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
TPVG 6.8xIndustry Avg. 26.3xNo. of Companies70PE020406080100+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPVG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (25.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPVG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPVG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TPVG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPVG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.23
US$6.96
+11.7%
15.9%US$9.00US$5.50n/a6
May ’26US$6.01
US$6.96
+15.8%
15.9%US$9.00US$5.50n/a6
Apr ’26US$7.00
US$7.63
+8.9%
10.0%US$9.00US$6.50n/a6
Mar ’26US$8.09
US$7.88
-2.7%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Feb ’26US$8.06
US$7.88
-2.3%
6.8%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Jan ’26US$7.38
US$7.92
+7.3%
6.7%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Dec ’25US$8.39
US$7.83
-6.6%
7.1%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Nov ’25US$6.58
US$8.08
+22.8%
5.6%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Oct ’25US$6.90
US$8.08
+17.1%
5.6%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Sep ’25US$7.53
US$8.08
+7.3%
5.6%US$9.00US$7.50n/a6
Aug ’25US$8.53
US$9.25
+8.4%
8.3%US$11.00US$8.50n/a7
Jul ’25US$8.17
US$9.32
+14.1%
8.2%US$11.00US$8.50n/a7
Jun ’25US$9.37
US$9.32
-0.5%
8.2%US$11.00US$8.50n/a7
May ’25US$9.45
US$9.54
+0.9%
8.9%US$11.50US$8.75US$6.017
Apr ’25US$9.34
US$9.61
+2.9%
9.0%US$11.50US$8.75US$7.007
Mar ’25US$10.83
US$10.82
-0.08%
9.0%US$12.50US$9.25US$8.097
Feb ’25US$11.20
US$10.66
-4.9%
9.5%US$12.50US$9.25US$8.068
Jan ’25US$10.86
US$10.66
-1.9%
9.5%US$12.50US$9.25US$7.388
Dec ’24US$10.53
US$10.53
+0.01%
9.7%US$12.50US$9.25US$8.398
Nov ’24US$9.65
US$11.09
+15.0%
9.6%US$13.50US$9.75US$6.588
Oct ’24US$10.46
US$11.22
+7.3%
9.8%US$13.50US$9.75US$6.908
Sep ’24US$11.17
US$11.22
+0.4%
9.8%US$13.50US$9.75US$7.538
Aug ’24US$12.60
US$11.25
-10.7%
11.1%US$13.50US$9.00US$8.538
Jul ’24US$11.78
US$10.75
-8.7%
12.1%US$13.50US$9.00US$8.178
Jun ’24US$10.76
US$10.66
-1.0%
12.6%US$13.50US$9.00US$9.378
May ’24US$11.92
US$12.31
+3.3%
11.7%US$14.50US$9.50US$9.458
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
US$6.96
Fair Value
10.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/09 23:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/09 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. is covered by 12 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian MckennaCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Casey AlexanderCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC
Douglas HarterCredit Suisse