Rithm Capital Corp.

NYSE:RITM.PRA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.2b

Rithm Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Rithm Capital is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.1% and 18.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 24.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.9% in 3 years.

Key information

25.1%

Earnings growth rate

24.08%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth26.2%
Revenue growth rate18.5%
Future return on equity18.90%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated08 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Mar 31

Rithm Capital's Sector Comparative Analysis - Part 2 (Includes Q2 + Q3 2025 Dividend Projection)

Summary This article compares RITM’s recent dividend per share rates, yield percentages, and several dividend sustainability metrics to 17 mREIT peers. This includes an analysis of RITM’s quarterly core earnings/earnings available for distribution (“EAD”) which directly impacts the company's dividend sustainability. This article also projects RITM’s dividend sustainability for Q2 – Q3 2025. With the market’s recent decline, RITM is now within my/our undervalued range. RITM’s recommendation and per share ranges are provided in the article. My current RITM buy, sell, or hold recommendation (based on a valuation methodology) and current BV projection are stated in the “Conclusions Drawn” section. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 26

Rithm Capital Corp. Class A: When Preferred Shares Actually Get Called

Summary Rithm Capital Corp. is redeeming 32% of its Series A preferred shares, reducing risk and creating a defined maturity profile for these securities. The Series A shares, initially issued in 2019, will now have a shorter duration, estimated between 1 and 2 years, with appealing yields to maturity. The redemption indicates Rithm's strategy to retire expensive capital, making the remaining Series A shares a low-risk, high-yield investment. Rithm's diversified business model and stable NAV support its ability to call preferred shares, enhancing investor confidence in the company's financial stability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:RITM.PRA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20287,5271,240N/AN/A1
12/31/20276,298915N/AN/A6
12/31/20265,961707N/AN/A6
3/31/20264,241599-2,577-2,613N/A
12/31/20253,780567-1,246-1,292N/A
9/30/20253,904777-2,897-2,931N/A
6/30/20253,608681-89-121N/A
3/31/20253,532610463551N/A
12/31/20243,710835-2,278-2,185N/A
9/30/20243,000484-1,565-1,479N/A
6/30/20243,143581-1,544-1,738N/A
3/31/20243,194725-1,064-1,802N/A
12/31/20232,3725331,431694N/A
9/30/20232,9547021,514761N/A
6/30/20232,9606322,0951,629N/A
3/31/20233,2142723,0813,044N/A
12/31/20224,4688655,7815,753N/A
9/30/20223,83294310,30210,303N/A
6/30/20224,1039659,2549,254N/A
3/31/20223,6781,0907,3137,269N/A
12/31/20214,2757053,5523,435N/A
9/30/20213,312614-646-699N/A
6/30/20212,814545-1,887-1,907N/A
3/31/20212,432415767N/A
12/31/2020-122-1,4651,4291,874N/A
9/30/202027-1,3212,0842,580N/A
6/30/2020-49-1,1752,8953,927N/A
3/31/2020-311-1,198-1,512-11N/A
12/31/20191,555550N/A-1,598N/A
9/30/20191,167339N/A-3,470N/A
6/30/20191,066299N/A-4,209N/A
3/31/20191,156505N/A-2,043N/A
12/31/20181,532964N/A-1,229N/A
9/30/20181,8541,252N/A-358N/A
6/30/20181,8521,293N/A-359N/A
3/31/20182,1641,440N/A-7N/A
12/31/20171,605958N/A-900N/A
9/30/20171,495894N/A-565N/A
6/30/20171,298767N/A-124N/A
3/31/2017876514N/A12N/A
12/31/2016796504N/A561N/A
9/30/2016572382N/A452N/A
6/30/2016468338N/A131N/A
3/31/2016459344N/A492N/A
12/31/2015389269N/A306N/A
9/30/2015362220N/A607N/A
6/30/2015454292N/A319N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RITM.PRA's forecast earnings growth (25.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: RITM.PRA's earnings (25.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RITM.PRA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RITM.PRA's revenue (18.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RITM.PRA's revenue (18.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RITM.PRA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.9%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/15 01:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Rithm Capital Corp. is covered by 20 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Mark DeVriesBarclays
Kenneth BruceBofA Global Research