P10 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

P10 is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 50% and 7.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 43.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 28% in 3 years.

Key information

50.0%

Earnings growth rate

43.6%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	12.4%
Revenue growth rate	7.3%
Future return on equity	28.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Optimistic Investors Push P10, Inc. (NYSE:PX) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Nov 26

P10 Hits Fundraising Target 6 Months Early, Showing Strong Demand (Rating Upgrade)

Aug 21

P10 (NYSE:PX) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.0325

Aug 14

P10 (NYSE:PX) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.0325

May 19

P10 announces $20M increase to stock buyback program

Dec 27

P10 Grows Revenue But Valuation Drops May Weigh On Stock

Nov 04

Market Participants Recognise P10, Inc.'s (NYSE:PX) Earnings

Nov 04

P10: Stable Profits In A Choppy Market

Oct 19

P10 goes ex-dividend tomorrow

Aug 25

P10 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.19 beats by $0.01, revenue of $46.7M beats by $2.95M

Aug 11

Alluvial Capital - P10 Inc.: Supremely Stable And Predictable Cash Flows

Apr 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	327	N/A	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	300	25	N/A	N/A	6
12/31/2024	286	17	N/A	N/A	6
9/30/2024	275	12	71	75	N/A
6/30/2024	259	3	62	64	N/A
3/31/2024	251	-3	37	38	N/A
12/31/2023	242	-7	46	48	N/A
9/30/2023	237	-1	62	64	N/A
6/30/2023	228	13	66	68	N/A
3/31/2023	212	22	73	75	N/A
12/31/2022	198	29	60	62	N/A
9/30/2022	186	28	51	52	N/A
6/30/2022	174	25	54	55	N/A
3/31/2022	161	15	47	47	N/A
12/31/2021	151	9	49	49	N/A
9/30/2021	130	26	35	35	N/A
6/30/2021	107	23	21	21	N/A
3/31/2021	86	24	16	16	N/A
12/31/2020	67	23	11	11	N/A
9/30/2020	54	4	20	20	N/A
12/31/2019	45	12	17	17	N/A
9/30/2019	43	16	18	18	N/A
12/31/2018	33	6	16	16	N/A
9/30/2018	28	3	14	14	N/A
6/30/2018	19	-2	N/A	9	N/A
3/31/2018	11	-2	N/A	4	N/A
12/31/2017	4	0	N/A	1	N/A
9/30/2017	N/A	-2	N/A	-6	N/A
6/30/2017	N/A	-2	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2017	N/A	-2	N/A	-7	N/A
12/31/2016	N/A	-1	N/A	-7	N/A
9/30/2016	39	-10	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2016	44	-11	N/A	-1	N/A
3/31/2016	50	-9	N/A	0	N/A
12/31/2015	N/A	-1	N/A	-2	N/A
9/30/2015	60	-6	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2015	58	-6	N/A	-5	N/A
3/31/2015	51	-11	N/A	-6	N/A
12/31/2014	49	-13	N/A	-7	N/A
9/30/2014	48	-15	N/A	-11	N/A
6/30/2014	48	-16	N/A	-9	N/A
3/31/2014	58	-11	N/A	-7	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PX's forecast earnings growth (50% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: PX's earnings (50% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PX's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PX's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PX's revenue (7.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/19 21:47
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

P10, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Carter Driscoll	Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin Budish	Barclays
Carter Driscoll	Capstone Investments

P10 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 9.9% to US$13.50

Price target increased by 7.8% to US$11.86

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$10.93

Price target decreased by 13% to US$12.36

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 73%, revenue upgraded

Recent updates

P10, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Independent Director exercised options and sold US$707k worth of stock

P10, Inc. Names Mike Goodwin as Chief Information Officer

Director exercised options and sold US$288k worth of stock

Optimistic Investors Push P10, Inc. (NYSE:PX) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Upcoming dividend of US$0.035 per share

Insider recently sold US$4.7m worth of stock

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Insider recently sold US$2.5m worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 9.9% to US$13.50

Third quarter dividend of US$0.035 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

P10, Inc. Declares A Quarterly Cash Dividend on Class A and Class B Common Stock, Payable on December 20, 2024

Chairman of the Board exercised options and sold US$1.3m worth of stock

P10, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 07, 2024

Price target increased by 7.8% to US$11.86

P10: Improved Outlook For Growth With Lower Margins

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$10.93

P10 (NYSE:PX) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.035

Second quarter dividend of US$0.035 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

P10 Names Sarita Narson Jairath as EVP and Global Head of Client Solutions

P10, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024

Independent Director recently bought US$164k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.035 per share

P10, Inc.: An Assessment On An Alternative Investment Management Company

P10's (NYSE:PX) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

First quarter dividend of US$0.035 announced

P10, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend on Class A and Class B Common Stock, Payable on June 20, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.044 (vs US$0.005 in 1Q 2023)

P10, Inc. Appoints Melodie Craft as Its General Counsel

High number of new directors

Alluvial Capital - P10, Inc.: Not On My 'Best Risk-Adjusted Ideas' List

P10, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 14, 2024

P10, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 08, 2024

P10, Inc. (NYSE:PX) Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Insider recently sold US$602k worth of stock

Insider recently sold US$891k worth of stock

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.033 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 13% to US$12.36

P10, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 26, 2024

P10, Inc. Announces Chief Operating Officer William Souder to Retire, Effective May 2024

P10, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 29, 2024

P10: I Expect Shares To Double Over The Next 3 Years

Head of Originations & Distribution recently sold US$303k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.033 per share at 1.4% yield

P10 May Benefit From Easing Rates And Wider Distribution

P10 (NYSE:PX) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.0325

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

P10, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 20, 2023

Executive Chairman exercised options and sold US$529k worth of stock

P10, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Luke Sarsfield as the New Chief Executive Officer

P10, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Luke Sarsfield as the New Chief Executive Officer

P10 (NYSE:PX) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.0325

Upcoming dividend of US$0.033 per share at 1.0% yield

P10 Hits Fundraising Target 6 Months Early, Showing Strong Demand (Rating Upgrade)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 73%, revenue upgraded

Insider recently sold US$252k worth of stock

New major risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

P10 (NYSE:PX) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.0325

P10, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend of Class A and Class B Common Stock, Payable on September 20, 2023

P10, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%, revenue upgraded

P10 (NYSE:PX) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.0325

First quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Head of Originations & Distribution recently sold US$200k worth of stock