MSCI Valuation

Is MSCI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSCI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MSCI ($557) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($516.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSCI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSCI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MSCI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue19.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA32.6x
PEG Ratio4.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MSCI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MSCI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.2x
NDAQ Nasdaq
34.5x12.7%US$36.5b
TW Tradeweb Markets
60.9x17.3%US$24.7b
ICE Intercontinental Exchange
33.1x10.8%US$78.4b
CME CME Group
24.4x3.4%US$77.6b
MSCI MSCI
38.4x8.5%US$44.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MSCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the peer average (38.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MSCI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MSCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSCI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSCI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MSCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MSCI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$557.00
US$612.51
+10.0%
11.9%US$700.00US$470.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$565.48
US$612.64
+8.3%
12.0%US$700.00US$470.00n/a16
Feb ’25US$604.30
US$621.39
+2.8%
10.5%US$700.00US$470.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$565.65
US$552.89
-2.3%
9.9%US$640.00US$440.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$527.70
US$543.77
+3.0%
9.4%US$640.00US$440.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$471.85
US$540.88
+14.6%
9.3%US$640.00US$440.00n/a16
Oct ’24US$513.08
US$572.57
+11.6%
10.5%US$650.00US$440.00n/a16
Sep ’24US$541.39
US$578.57
+6.9%
10.8%US$650.00US$440.00n/a16
Aug ’24US$545.94
US$575.42
+5.4%
10.8%US$650.00US$440.00n/a17
Jul ’24US$469.29
US$539.06
+14.9%
9.2%US$600.00US$412.00n/a17
Jun ’24US$466.97
US$552.44
+18.3%
11.8%US$730.00US$412.00n/a16
May ’24US$483.03
US$555.29
+15.0%
12.3%US$730.00US$412.00n/a14
Apr ’24US$559.69
US$570.14
+1.9%
11.3%US$730.00US$412.00n/a14
Mar ’24US$515.45
US$565.86
+9.8%
11.7%US$730.00US$412.00US$565.4814
Feb ’24US$554.52
US$561.71
+1.3%
10.2%US$672.00US$412.00US$604.3014
Jan ’24US$465.17
US$505.46
+8.7%
11.4%US$600.00US$370.00US$565.6513
Dec ’23US$521.39
US$487.17
-6.6%
9.3%US$545.00US$370.00US$527.7012
Nov ’23US$470.08
US$494.77
+5.3%
12.4%US$640.00US$370.00US$471.8513
Oct ’23US$421.79
US$507.85
+20.4%
12.1%US$640.00US$370.00US$513.0813
Sep ’23US$456.91
US$508.08
+11.2%
12.1%US$640.00US$370.00US$541.3913
Aug ’23US$476.86
US$498.31
+4.5%
11.9%US$640.00US$370.00US$545.9413
Jul ’23US$417.72
US$502.08
+20.2%
13.1%US$651.00US$375.00US$469.2913
Jun ’23US$431.45
US$528.31
+22.4%
13.3%US$651.00US$375.00US$466.9713
May ’23US$421.25
US$547.08
+29.9%
13.2%US$651.00US$375.00US$483.0313
Apr ’23US$516.00
US$603.25
+16.9%
14.8%US$720.00US$375.00US$559.6912
Mar ’23US$500.38
US$615.30
+23.0%
15.1%US$720.00US$375.00US$515.4510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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