MFA Financial Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

MFA Financial is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 43.9% and 0.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 34.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.9% in 3 years.

Key information

43.9%

Earnings growth rate

34.2%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth	41.1%
Revenue growth rate	0.8%
Future return on equity	12.9%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	15 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

MFA PFDs Revisited: FOMC Has Changed The Outlook (Rating Upgrade)

Dec 26

MFA Financial: Not Yet A Buy, Wait For Bullish Indicators

Nov 22

MFA Financial: A High-Yielding Mortgage REIT Started Generating Decent Price Growth

Aug 27

MFA Financial Non-GAAP EPS of $0.28 misses by $0.07, Net interest income of $52.29M misses by $0.61M

Nov 03

MFA Financial stock climbs 5% aftermarket on preliminary estimates for Q3

Oct 17

MFA Financial declares $0.44 dividend

Sep 13

MFA Financial: Strong Yield But Negative Total Return

Aug 16

MFA Financial: The Reverse Stock Split Makes Investors Wary

May 19

MFA Financial: Buy The Dip

Feb 25

MFA Financial: Exceptional Dividend With A Diversified Loan Portfolio

Feb 16

MFA Financial reports Q1 results

May 06

Did MFA Financial, Inc. (NYSE:MFA) Insiders Buy Up More Shares?

Feb 22

Here's What MFA Financial, Inc.'s (NYSE:MFA) Shareholder Ownership Structure Looks Like

Jan 01

MFA Financial to redeem $100M senior notes due 2042

Dec 22

MFA Financial raises dividend by 50% to $0.075 per share

Dec 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MFA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	240	139	N/A	N/A	3
12/31/2024	210	141	N/A	N/A	4
12/31/2023	234	47	109	109	N/A
9/30/2023	140	-36	122	122	N/A
6/30/2023	137	-35	219	219	N/A
3/31/2023	65	-109	219	220	N/A
12/31/2022	-96	-265	355	355	N/A
9/30/2022	-51	-228	399	360	N/A
6/30/2022	126	-40	268	236	N/A
3/31/2022	273	127	221	230	N/A
12/31/2021	449	295	138	138	N/A
9/30/2021	412	297	77	131	N/A
6/30/2021	370	252	30	78	N/A
3/31/2021	493	282	40	49	N/A
12/31/2020	-538	-709	34	38	N/A
9/30/2020	-434	-650	77	79	N/A
6/30/2020	-435	-638	186	186	N/A
3/31/2020	-529	-637	190	192	N/A
12/31/2019	473	362	214	216	N/A
9/30/2019	423	322	210	211	N/A
6/30/2019	412	314	188	190	N/A
3/31/2019	386	291	178	179	N/A
12/31/2018	381	286	147	148	N/A
9/30/2018	412	325	144	145	N/A
6/30/2018	394	302	121	122	N/A
3/31/2018	406	311	137	138	N/A
12/31/2017	394	307	176	177	N/A
9/30/2017	368	278	N/A	198	N/A
6/30/2017	378	297	N/A	237	N/A
3/31/2017	371	296	N/A	180	N/A
12/31/2016	377	296	N/A	179	N/A
9/30/2016	370	297	N/A	222	N/A
6/30/2016	365	293	N/A	193	N/A
3/31/2016	363	293	N/A	266	N/A
12/31/2015	366	297	N/A	278	N/A
9/30/2015	370	303	N/A	234	N/A
6/30/2015	367	303	N/A	262	N/A
3/31/2015	367	303	N/A	259	N/A
12/31/2014	359	297	N/A	256	N/A
9/30/2014	353	296	N/A	248	N/A
6/30/2014	346	289	N/A	272	N/A
3/31/2014	342	281	N/A	275	N/A
12/31/2013	341	284	N/A	298	N/A
9/30/2013	339	276	N/A	305	N/A
6/30/2013	344	285	N/A	291	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MFA's forecast earnings growth (43.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: MFA's earnings (43.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MFA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MFA's revenue (0.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MFA's revenue (0.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MFA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.9%).

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MFA Financial Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Price target decreased to US$14.92

Price target decreased to US$16.21

Price target decreased to US$17.63

Consensus forecasts updated

Recent updates

MFA Financial, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 04, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.35 announced

MFA Financial, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on April 30, 2024

MFA Financial, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 22, 2024

President exercised options and sold US$414k worth of stock

MFA PFDs Revisited: FOMC Has Changed The Outlook (Rating Upgrade)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share at 12% yield

MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Appointment of Bryan Doran as Chief Accounting Officer

MFA Financial, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on January 31, 2024

MFA Financial: Not Yet A Buy, Wait For Bullish Indicators

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

Mfa Financial, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend on Common Stock, Payable on October 31, 2023

MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Appointment of Michael C. Roper as Chief Financial Officer

MFA Financial: A High-Yielding Mortgage REIT Started Generating Decent Price Growth

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 03, 2023

Insufficient new directors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share at 15% yield

MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Cash Dividend for the Second Quarter of 2023, Payable on July 31, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share at 18% yield

MFA Financial Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

MFA Financial: Don't Chase Yield After A 20% Dividend Cut

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Consider MFA Financial Convertible Notes Yielding 12.7%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.35 per share

MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Dividend for the Fourth Quarter of 2022, Payable on January 31, 2023

MFA Financial decrease dividend by -20.5% to $0.35/share

MFA Financial: Buy This REIT For Solid Dividend Yield

Price target decreased to US$14.92

MFA Financial Non-GAAP EPS of $0.28 misses by $0.07, Net interest income of $52.29M misses by $0.61M

MFA Financial stock climbs 5% aftermarket on preliminary estimates for Q3

Price target decreased to US$16.21

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 03, 2022

Upcoming dividend of US$0.44 per share

Mfa Financial, Inc. Announces Dividend for the Third Quarter of 2022, to Be Paid on October 31, 2022

MFA Financial declares $0.44 dividend

MFA Financial: Strong Yield But Negative Total Return

Price target decreased to US$17.63

Consensus forecasts updated

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 04, 2022

Price target decreased to US$17.96

Upcoming dividend of US$0.44 per share

MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Dividend for the Second Quarter of 2022, Payable on July 29, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Senior VP & Co-Controller recently sold US$55k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

MFA Financial: The Reverse Stock Split Makes Investors Wary

Consensus forecasts updated

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 04, 2022

MFA Financial, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 07, 2022

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

MFA Financial: Buy The Dip

MFA Financial: Exceptional Dividend With A Diversified Loan Portfolio

MFA Financial, Inc. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Feb 23, 2022

President exercised options and sold US$325k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.28 (vs US$0.17 in 3Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.10 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated