Lument Finance Trust, Inc.

NYSE:LFT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$129.2m

Lument Finance Trust Valuation

Is LFT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LFT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$1.44
Fair Value
68.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LFT ($2.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LFT is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LFT?

Key metric: As LFT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LFT. This is calculated by dividing LFT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LFT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsUS$18.13m
Market CapUS$129.16m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LFT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LFT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average49.2x
SEVN Seven Hills Realty Trust
9.7x-6.3%US$187.9m
ACR ACRES Commercial Realty
18.5x-10.3%US$124.8m
SUNS Sunrise Realty Trust
134.2x97.6%US$92.0m
AFCG Advanced Flower Capital
34.4x32.3%US$185.9m
LFT Lument Finance Trust
7x13.2%US$129.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LFT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (49.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LFT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Mortgage REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
LFT 7.0xIndustry Avg. 10.2xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LFT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the US Mortgage REITs industry average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LFT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LFT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LFT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LFT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.42
US$3.00
+24.0%
8.3%US$3.25US$2.75n/a2
Jan ’26US$2.58
US$3.00
+16.3%
8.3%US$3.25US$2.75n/a2
Dec ’25US$2.64
US$2.88
+8.9%
4.3%US$3.00US$2.75n/a2
Nov ’25US$2.45
US$2.75
+12.2%
9.1%US$3.00US$2.50n/a2
Oct ’25US$2.50
US$2.67
+6.7%
8.8%US$3.00US$2.50n/a3
Sep ’25US$2.46
US$2.69
+9.2%
7.7%US$3.00US$2.50n/a4
Aug ’25US$2.63
US$2.69
+2.2%
7.7%US$3.00US$2.50n/a4
Jul ’25US$2.25
US$2.69
+19.4%
7.7%US$3.00US$2.50n/a4
Jun ’25US$2.50
US$2.69
+7.5%
7.7%US$3.00US$2.50n/a4
May ’25US$2.24
US$2.67
+19.0%
4.4%US$2.75US$2.50n/a3
Apr ’25US$2.51
US$2.67
+6.2%
4.4%US$2.75US$2.50n/a3
Mar ’25US$2.26
US$2.50
+10.6%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25n/a3
Feb ’25US$2.44
US$2.50
+2.5%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25n/a3
Jan ’25US$2.33
US$2.50
+7.3%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25US$2.583
Dec ’24US$2.13
US$2.50
+17.4%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25US$2.643
Nov ’24US$1.94
US$2.50
+28.9%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25US$2.453
Oct ’24US$2.08
US$2.50
+20.2%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25US$2.503
Sep ’24US$2.14
US$2.50
+16.8%
8.2%US$2.75US$2.25US$2.463
Aug ’24US$2.18
US$2.33
+7.0%
10.1%US$2.50US$2.00US$2.633
Jul ’24US$1.90
US$2.33
+22.8%
10.1%US$2.50US$2.00US$2.253
Jun ’24US$1.85
US$2.33
+26.1%
10.1%US$2.50US$2.00US$2.503
May ’24US$1.80
US$3.06
+70.1%
29.6%US$4.50US$2.00US$2.244
Apr ’24US$2.02
US$3.06
+51.6%
29.6%US$4.50US$2.00US$2.514
Mar ’24US$2.08
US$2.75
+32.2%
14.8%US$3.25US$2.25US$2.263
Feb ’24US$2.18
US$2.75
+26.1%
14.8%US$3.25US$2.25US$2.443
Jan ’24US$1.90
US$2.75
+44.7%
14.8%US$3.25US$2.25US$2.333
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
US$3.00
Fair Value
19.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 08:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lument Finance Trust, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark DeVriesBarclays
Matthew HowlettB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Douglas HarterCredit Suisse