Stock Analysis
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- NYSE:LDI
It's Down 25% But loanDepot, Inc. (NYSE:LDI) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
The loanDepot, Inc. (NYSE:LDI) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 62% in the last year.
After such a large drop in price, loanDepot may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for loanDepot
What Does loanDepot's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, loanDepot has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think loanDepot's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is loanDepot's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, loanDepot would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.2% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 82% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 29% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 0.1% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that loanDepot's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What Does loanDepot's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in loanDepot have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
A look at loanDepot's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for loanDepot you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if loanDepot might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:LDI
loanDepot
Engages in originating, financing, selling, and servicing residential mortgage loans in the United States.