Federated Hermes Valuation

Is FHI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FHI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FHI ($42.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($67.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FHI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FHI?

Key metric: As FHI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FHI. This is calculated by dividing FHI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FHI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13x
EarningsUS$254.15m
Market CapUS$3.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FHI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FHI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11x
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.6xn/aUS$2.3b
HTGC Hercules Capital
9.4x4.1%US$3.0b
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management
14.4x6.9%US$3.8b
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings
16.6x31.5%US$4.4b
FHI Federated Hermes
13x9.5%US$3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FHI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FHI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.6xn/aUS$2.28b
CET Central Securities
4.5xn/aUS$1.32b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.1xn/aUS$1.17b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
FHI 13.0xIndustry Avg. 24.3xNo. of Companies74PE020406080100+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FHI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FHI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FHI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FHI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FHI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$42.34
US$42.63
+0.7%
8.7%US$49.00US$37.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$40.54
US$41.25
+1.8%
10.5%US$49.00US$35.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$36.27
US$36.75
+1.3%
10.9%US$47.00US$33.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$34.30
US$36.88
+7.5%
10.9%US$47.00US$33.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$33.74
US$37.00
+9.7%
10.7%US$47.00US$33.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$32.74
US$37.13
+13.4%
9.2%US$46.00US$35.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$33.17
US$37.25
+12.3%
9.1%US$46.00US$35.00n/a8
May ’25US$32.79
US$37.75
+15.1%
9.0%US$46.00US$35.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$36.09
US$38.50
+6.7%
8.3%US$46.00US$35.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$35.88
US$38.13
+6.3%
8.6%US$46.00US$35.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$35.05
US$37.75
+7.7%
8.8%US$46.00US$35.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$33.86
US$37.29
+10.1%
9.9%US$45.00US$34.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$32.28
US$37.00
+14.6%
10.0%US$45.00US$34.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$31.51
US$37.43
+18.8%
9.9%US$45.00US$34.00US$40.547
Oct ’24US$33.87
US$38.86
+14.7%
8.6%US$45.00US$35.00US$36.277
Sep ’24US$35.35
US$39.14
+10.7%
10.0%US$47.00US$35.00US$34.307
Aug ’24US$33.60
US$39.86
+18.6%
8.6%US$47.00US$36.00US$33.747
Jul ’24US$35.85
US$43.71
+21.9%
7.9%US$48.00US$39.00US$32.747
Jun ’24US$34.78
US$43.71
+25.7%
7.9%US$48.00US$39.00US$33.177
May ’24US$41.21
US$43.71
+6.1%
7.9%US$48.00US$39.00US$32.797
Apr ’24US$40.14
US$39.57
-1.4%
10.7%US$45.00US$35.00US$36.097
Mar ’24US$39.87
US$39.29
-1.5%
10.3%US$45.00US$35.00US$35.887
Feb ’24US$40.36
US$39.14
-3.0%
9.9%US$45.00US$35.00US$35.057
Jan ’24US$36.31
US$36.29
-0.07%
10.8%US$42.00US$30.00US$33.867
Dec ’23US$38.03
US$35.86
-5.7%
9.9%US$41.00US$30.00US$32.287
Nov ’23US$35.19
US$35.57
+1.1%
9.0%US$40.00US$30.00US$31.517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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