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Bakkt Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BKKT) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BKKT) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 22% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Bakkt Holdings may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Bakkt Holdings
What Does Bakkt Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Bakkt Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bakkt Holdings.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Bakkt Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 87% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.5% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Bakkt Holdings' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Bakkt Holdings' P/S?
Shares in Bakkt Holdings have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Bakkt Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Bakkt Holdings' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Bakkt Holdings you should be aware of, and 3 of them don't sit too well with us.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bakkt Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BKKT
Bakkt Holdings
Offers software as a service and application programming interface solutions for crypto and loyalty, powering engagement, and performance.
Excellent balance sheet slight.