Barings BDC Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Barings BDC's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 3.3% and 1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 0.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.2% in 3 years.

Key information

-1.0%

Earnings growth rate

-0.7%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth12.6%
Revenue growth rate-3.3%
Future return on equity9.2%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated21 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Feb 26
Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Recent updates

Barings BDC: Portfolio Quality Continues To Weaken (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 06

Barings BDC: Improving Performance Could Close Valuation Gap

Dec 28

Barings BDC: Solid Hold For Existing Shareholders

Nov 28

Barings BDC: Quality 10%+ Yield And P/NAV Of 0.87x Make It A Buy

Nov 19

Barings BDC: Undervalued 11% Yield With 154% Dividend Coverage

Oct 21

Barings BDC: Potential Upside If Credit Issues Remain Managed

Oct 04

Barings BDC: Solid BDC But Lack Of NAV Growth Reduces Appeal

Sep 06

Barings BDC: Getting Very Close To A Buy Rating

Aug 12

Barings BDC: Elevated Risk Profile But Fairly Priced 10% Yield

Jul 24

BBDC: Adding A Starter Position In This 10.9% Yielding BDC

Jun 27

Barings BDC: An 11% Yield That Has The Makings Of A Great Long-Term Investment

Jun 21

Barings BDC: Credit Quality Improvement Fully Priced In (Rating Downgrade)

May 31

Barings BDC: Signs Of Improving Profile, But Still Risks Remain

May 18

Barings BDC: One Of The Few Deals In The BDC Sector

May 09

Barings BDC: This 11.4% Yielding BDC Looks Like A Future Superstar

Mar 30

Barings BDC: Still Too Thin Margin Of Safety To Go Long

Mar 13

Barings BDC: Discount To NAV More Than Reflects Risks

Feb 05

Barings BDC: Should You Buy The 20% Discount To NAV And 11.6% Dividend Yield?

Jan 09

Barings BDC: A Suboptimal Way To Play The BDC Exposure

Dec 04

Barings BDC: A 12% Yield And Improving Portfolio Quality

Oct 30

Barings BDC Isn't Well Known, But Maybe This 11.76% Yielding BDC Should Be

Oct 24

Barings BDC: 11% Yield, 19% Discount, 23% Dividend Growth

Aug 27

Barings BDC: Low But Realistic Valuation Signals Fair Value

Jul 03

Barings BDC Q4 2022 Earnings Preview

Feb 23

Barings BDC: An Attractive 10.8% Yield Along With Some Downside Protection

Feb 07

Barings BDC reports Q3 results

Nov 10

Barings gets $11.5M financing for Euclid Glenmore Apartments

Oct 24

Barings BDC: A Cheap Capital Markets Investment Company, But Trending Lower

Sep 16

Barings BDC GAAP EPS of $0.23 misses by $0.01, revenue of $31.8M

Aug 09

Barings' Recession Scenario Breakpoint: A 20% Fall In Portfolio Fair Value

Jul 05

Barings BDC (NYSE:BBDC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.24

May 26
Barings BDC (NYSE:BBDC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.24

Industry Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) Revenue Forecasts

May 08
Industry Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Upgrade To Their Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) Revenue Forecasts

War, Inflation, Rising Interest Rates? No Time To Be A Hero; Check Out Barings BDC

May 07

Barings BDC: Quality On The Inside, 'Junky' On The Yield

Mar 14

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC)

Mar 01
New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC)

Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Feb 26
Barings BDC, Inc. (NYSE:BBDC) Just Reported Annual Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Barings BDC: Continues To Earn A+ Rating For Investors Seeking Growth From Dividend Income

Aug 30

Barings BDC EPS beats by $0.02, beats on total investment income

May 06

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:BBDC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027264104N/AN/A1
12/31/2026265110N/A1014
12/31/2025268116N/A1784
12/31/2024286110122122N/A
9/30/2024291115306306N/A
6/30/2024291112247247N/A
3/31/2024292132174174N/A
12/31/20232891287777N/A
9/30/202327797-85-85N/A
6/30/2023262887272N/A
3/31/2023243231313N/A
12/31/202221958686N/A
9/30/202219217-171-171N/A
6/30/202217122-270-270N/A
3/31/202214876-330-330N/A
12/31/202113578-397-397N/A
9/30/202111989-339-339N/A
6/30/2021100118-477-477N/A
3/31/202183143-339-339N/A
12/31/2020718-218-218N/A
9/30/202070-4-10-10N/A
6/30/202073-42121121N/A
3/31/202076-874545N/A
12/31/20197658-32-32N/A
9/30/2019745-475-475N/A
6/30/201967-102-417-417N/A
3/31/201972-96-302-302N/A
12/31/201880-114-198-198N/A
9/30/201895-48N/A371N/A
6/30/2018113-4N/A319N/A
3/31/2018119-21N/A160N/A
12/31/2017123-29N/A8N/A
9/30/2017122-45N/A-181N/A
6/30/201712020N/A-212N/A
3/31/201711729N/A-157N/A
12/31/201611434N/A-23N/A
9/30/201611436N/A63N/A
6/30/201611846N/A-8N/A
3/31/201611752N/A2N/A
12/31/201512148N/A-31N/A
9/30/201512039N/A-78N/A
6/30/201511412N/A-114N/A
3/31/201511124N/A-156N/A
12/31/201410528N/A-188N/A
9/30/20149646N/A-161N/A
6/30/20149878N/A-1N/A
3/31/201410175N/A107N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BBDC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: BBDC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BBDC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: BBDC's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BBDC's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.3% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BBDC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.2%).

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/22 20:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Barings BDC, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bryce RoweBaird
Derek HewettBofA Global Research
Casey AlexanderCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC