How does AAIC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

AAIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (4.1x).

How does AAIC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Mortgage REITs Industry?

AAIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the US Mortgage REITs industry average (4.7x).

What is AAIC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

Insufficient data to calculate AAIC's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

What is the Fair Price of AAIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Insufficient data to calculate AAIC's fair value for valuation analysis.

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Arlington Asset Investment (NYSE:AAIC) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

AAIC Stock Overview

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AAIC) currently invests primarily in mortgage related and residential real estate and has elected to be taxed as a REIT. More details

AAIC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	0/6
Future Growth	0/6
Past Performance	0/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	0/6

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for AAIC from our risk checks.

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. Competitors

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT

NYSE:AOMR

US$220.3m

Lument Finance Trust

NYSE:LFT

US$134.4m

Western Asset Mortgage Capital

NYSE:WMC

US$55.5m

Seven Hills Realty Trust

NasdaqCM:SEVN

US$193.7m

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Arlington Asset Investment
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$4.84
52 Week High	US$4.84
52 Week Low	US$2.53
Beta	1.49
11 Month Change	3.42%
3 Month Change	5.45%
1 Year Change	64.63%
33 Year Change	29.41%
5 Year Change	-37.14%
Change since IPO	-98.82%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	AAIC	US Mortgage REITs	US Market
7D	2.5%	-0.4%	-1.0%
1Y	64.6%	-0.4%	30.3%

Return vs Industry: AAIC exceeded the US Mortgage REITs industry which returned -6.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AAIC exceeded the US Market which returned 17.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AAIC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AAIC volatility
AAIC Average Weekly Movement	4.4%
Mortgage REITs Industry Average Movement	3.4%
Market Average Movement	6.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	15.7%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	3.1%

Stable Share Price: AAIC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.

Volatility Over Time: AAIC's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1989	9	J. Tonkel	www.arlingtonasset.com

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE: AAIC) currently invests primarily in mortgage related and residential real estate and has elected to be taxed as a REIT. The Company is headquartered in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. For more information, please visit www.arlingtonasset.com.

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. Fundamentals Summary

How do Arlington Asset Investment's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AAIC fundamental statistics
Market cap	US$137.08m
Earnings (TTM)	-US$2.21m
Revenue (TTM)	US$19.16m

7.2x

P/S Ratio

-61.9x

P/E Ratio

Is AAIC overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AAIC income statement (TTM)
Revenue	US$19.16m
Cost of Revenue	US$755.00k
Gross Profit	US$18.40m
Other Expenses	US$20.61m
Earnings	-US$2.21m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2023

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	-0.078
Gross Margin	96.06%
Net Profit Margin	-11.56%
Debt/Equity Ratio	300.7%

How did AAIC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

AAIC Stock Overview

Risk Analysis

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. Competitors

NYSE:AOMR

US$220.3m

NYSE:LFT

US$134.4m

NYSE:WMC

US$55.5m

NasdaqCM:SEVN

US$193.7m

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. Files Form 15

Arlington Requests NYSE To File Form 25 with SEC

Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE:EFC) completed the acquisition of Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE:AAIC).

Arlington Asset Investment Corp.(NYSE:AAIC) dropped from S&P TMI Index

New major risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Recent updates

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. Files Form 15

Arlington Requests NYSE To File Form 25 with SEC

Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE:EFC) completed the acquisition of Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE:AAIC).

Arlington Asset Investment Corp.(NYSE:AAIC) dropped from S&P TMI Index

New major risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Arlington Asset Investment Corp: Price Hike Due To Acquisition Deal

New major risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE:EFC) entered into a definitive Agreement to acquire Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE:AAIC) for approximately $150 million.

Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE:EFC) entered into a definitive Agreement to acquire Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE:AAIC) for approximately $160 million.

Ellington Financial And Arlington Asset Investment To Merge, M&A Arbitrage Play

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 49%

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 24%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 21%, EPS upgraded

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. completed the acquisition of McLean SFR Investment, LLC from AVHS SFR II LLC for $87 million.

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 50%

Insufficient new directors

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 14, 2022

Price target decreased to US$3.50

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.014 loss per share (vs US$0.23 loss in 2Q 2021)

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 09, 2022

Non-Employee Independent Chairman recently bought US$160k worth of stock

President recently bought US$94k worth of stock

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 12, 2022

Arlington Asset Investment Corp., Annual General Meeting, Jun 16, 2022

Arlington Asset Investment Corp., Annual General Meeting, Jun 16, 2022

Insufficient new directors

President recently bought US$70k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Mar 02, 2022

Insufficient new directors

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.031 loss per share (vs US$0.12 profit in 3Q 2020)

President recently bought US$58k worth of stock

Consensus forecasts updated

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.23 loss per share (vs US$0.26 profit in 2Q 2020)

Arlington Asset Investment Corp.(NYSE:AAIC) dropped from Russell 3000E Value Index

First quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.20 loss per share (vs US$2.59 loss in 1Q 2020)

Arlington Asset Investment reports Q1 results

Have Insiders Been Buying Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (NYSE:AAIC) Shares?

Full year 2020 earnings released: US$2.00 loss per share (vs US$0.31 profit in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint

New 90-day high: US$4.06

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 16, 2021

President recently bought US$77k worth of stock

New 90-day high: US$3.85

Arlington Asset Investment's Baby Bonds: Discounted By The Market For A Reason

President recently sold US$63k worth of stock

Price target raised to US$3.50

New 90-day high: US$3.02

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS US$0.12

Revenue and earnings beat expectations

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Nov 03, 2020

New 90-day low: US$2.46

Arlington Asset Investment Corp. to Report Q3, 2019 Results on Nov 07, 2019

President recently bought US$268k worth of stock