Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Put Victory Capital Holdings (NASDAQ:VCTR) On Your Watchlist?

NasdaqGS:VCTR
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like Victory Capital Holdings (NASDAQ:VCTR), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

See our latest analysis for Victory Capital Holdings

How Fast Is Victory Capital Holdings Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In the last three years Victory Capital Holdings's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like the last firework on New Year's Eve accelerating into the sky, Victory Capital Holdings's EPS shot from US$3.14 to US$5.40, over the last year. You don't see 72% year-on-year growth like that, very often.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. While we note Victory Capital Holdings's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 15% to US$890m. That's a real positive.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:VCTR Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2022

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Victory Capital Holdings's forecast profits?

Are Victory Capital Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

The good news is that Victory Capital Holdings insiders spent a whopping US$2.3m on stock in just one year, and I didn't see any selling. As if for a flower bud approaching bloom, I become an expectant observer, anticipating with hope, that something splendid is coming. We also note that it was the Chairman of the Board of Directors & CEO, David Brown, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying US$1.0m for shares at about US$34.62 each.

The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Victory Capital Holdings bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. Indeed, they have a glittering mountain of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$160m. I would find that kind of skin in the game quite encouraging, if I owned shares, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience my success, or failure, with the stock.

Should You Add Victory Capital Holdings To Your Watchlist?

Victory Capital Holdings's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. What's more insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. Because of the potential that it has reached an inflection point, I'd suggest Victory Capital Holdings belongs on the top of your watchlist. You still need to take note of risks, for example - Victory Capital Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Victory Capital Holdings isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.