Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) Shares 30% But It Can Do More

NasdaqCM:RVYL

Those holding Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 73% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Ryvyl may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Ryvyl

NasdaqCM:RVYL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 17th 2024

How Has Ryvyl Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Ryvyl has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ryvyl.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ryvyl?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Ryvyl's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 43% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 298% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.2% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 4.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Ryvyl's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Shares in Ryvyl have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

A look at Ryvyl's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Ryvyl (of which 3 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ryvyl, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.