Stock Analysis
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- NasdaqCM:RVYL
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Ryvyl Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RVYL) 27% Share Price Climb
Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 60% share price decline over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Ryvyl may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
See our latest analysis for Ryvyl
What Does Ryvyl's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent revenue growth for Ryvyl has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Ryvyl will be hoping that this isn't the case.
Keen to find out how analysts think Ryvyl's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Ryvyl's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Ryvyl's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 187% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.3%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Ryvyl is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Ryvyl's P/S
Even after such a strong price move, Ryvyl's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
A look at Ryvyl's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Ryvyl is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:RVYL
Ryvyl
A technology company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of blockchain-based payment solutions in North America, Europe, and Asia.