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A Fresh Look at Galaxy Digital (NasdaqGS:GLXY) Valuation Following Recent Share Price Movement
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
See our latest analysis for Galaxy Digital.
Galaxy Digital’s share price has pulled back sharply in the past month, but it is still up 33.1% year-to-date. That said, the stock’s 1-year total return of 40.9% speaks to longer-term growth momentum, and its three-year total shareholder return of nearly 687% is tough to ignore. This serves as a reminder that although sentiment can shift quickly in the short term, long-term investors have been well rewarded by Galaxy’s performance so far.
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After significant gains and a recent pullback, the question now is whether Galaxy Digital is trading below its true worth, or if the market has already factored in the company’s future potential. Is there a buying opportunity, or is everything priced in?
Most Popular Narrative: 48.6% Undervalued
With Galaxy Digital’s fair value from the most popular narrative sitting at $46.73, almost double the last close of $24.03, market watchers are examining what drives this aggressive upside.
Expansion of proprietary trading capabilities and operational scale is allowing Galaxy to consistently outpace industry trading volume declines, while capturing outsized share from market dislocations. This suggests the potential for sustained trading revenue growth and structurally higher net margins as institutional crypto markets mature.
How can this stock’s future be so much brighter than the current share price suggests? The heart of this story is bold growth targets, accelerated by bets on explosive institutional demand, rapid revenue expansion, and a profit profile usually reserved for sector giants. Can the model really justify such a dramatic re-rating? Find out what turns this narrative into a sky-high price target.
Result: Fair Value of $46.73 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, Galaxy’s heavy client concentration and capital-intensive data center expansion could undermine growth if market demand or financing conditions unexpectedly worsen.
Find out about the key risks to this Galaxy Digital narrative.
Another View: Market Ratios Paint a Different Picture
Looking through the lens of earnings ratios, Galaxy Digital's valuation appears far richer than its peers. Its price-to-earnings ratio stands at 38.8 times, which is well above the US Capital Markets industry average of 23.9 and the peer average of 18.9. The fair ratio suggests a level closer to 8.7. For investors, such a premium means there could be more downside if expectations do not play out as planned. Could these steep multiples signal caution rather than opportunity?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Galaxy Digital Narrative
If you feel differently about Galaxy Digital or would rather analyze the data yourself, creating a personalized narrative takes less than three minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your Galaxy Digital research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 6 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:GLXY
Galaxy Digital
Engages in the digital asset and data center infrastructure businesses.
Medium-low risk with mediocre balance sheet.
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