Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Graham Holdings (NYSE:GHC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:GHC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Graham Holdings Company (NYSE:GHC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that GHC is potentially undervalued!

What Is Graham Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Graham Holdings had US$617.8m of debt, an increase on US$535.0m, over one year. However, it does have US$789.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$171.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GHC Debt to Equity History October 14th 2022

How Healthy Is Graham Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Graham Holdings had liabilities of US$1.02b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.78b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$789.2m and US$515.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.49b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Graham Holdings has a market capitalization of US$2.79b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Graham Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

The good news is that Graham Holdings has increased its EBIT by 7.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Graham Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Graham Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Graham Holdings recorded free cash flow of 50% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While Graham Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$171.4m. And it also grew its EBIT by 7.9% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Graham Holdings's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Graham Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.